2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member
another lie that the US said is that they are not going to do any more nation building. that is false.

when the US attempted to do nation building for example in Afghanistan. they are not doing it out of the goodness of their hearts. if you dont build a new local government and military then the old force that you toppled will just come back up at some point.

I actually think it will be easy for the US to establish control in the Kurdish area and have the Kurds form a shield for a base there similar to the SDF in Syria. they could call these Kurdish forces.. the Iranian Democratic Forces (IDF) (pun intended).
then have some random guy be the self declared president of Iran based in whatever little Kurdish land they control.

the difficult part is what comes after that. because then they have to get out and march to control the rest of Iran or else the war would truly go forever.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
This will bring USN ships within the range of Irans anti-shipping missiles, and potentially ship losses.

The Americans may be feeling lucky given that Iran has not been able to shoot down any jets over her airspace yet.
We talk about a 30 to 90km wide strait. Would even put these ships in range of some torpedos...even artillery. I would not go there at all with ships.
 

sheogorath

Colonel
Registered Member
US and Israel "rolled in" air defense carpet stage by stage, thoroughly. But as Iran is just a big, mountainous country, and number of aircraft over Iran is not infinite, nor support aircraft can afford to fly over Iran(yet) - it's possible to sneak out a few small low altitude strike sorties by just via timing sorties when blue strikegroups eggress.
But this is exactly "in-between", because meeting western groups is hopeless for Iranian aircraft - not only they can't fight back, there's apparently no even firm picture of blue aircraft presense any longer.

VKS doesn't fly over FLOT at all - and as such, it is always a manageable threat in modern air combat, simply because under GAC you can always turn away and energy kill any attack. Granted, sortie is wasted, but you'll survive.
Save the part where unlike Iran, Ukraine gets some tactical and strategic overview through NATO assests that can't be targeted and destroyed.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
From the lens of Israeli and American hardliners, the goal here isn't for the Kurds to swallow up the entirety of Iran, but for Kurdish separatists to carve out an autonomous mini-state inside Iran — Iranian Kurdistan, if we're to call it that — as they did with Iraqi Kurdistan inside Iraq.

Likewise, just as Iraqi Kurdistan effectively — but somewhat discreetly — hosts a permanent US military presence, so will Iranian Kurdistan, should it be "liberated" by Kurdish
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. . . I mean freedom fighters.

If things pan out for Washington and Tel Aviv, Iranian Kurdistan will serve as a base of operations — for collecting intelligence, training insurgents, and launching drone strikes, among other activities — that will weaken and disrupt, if not destabilize, the government in Tehran for years, if not decades, to come.
Kurds were only able to do that in Iraq because US has boots on the ground, for 15 years.
Right now things would pan out if they can regain access to ME energy before the entire western economy collapses.
 
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