2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

[zyklon]

Second of all the Kurds don't have a army to fight a country of 90 million people, they will get massacred

From the lens of Israeli and American hardliners, the goal here isn't for the Kurds to swallow up the entirety of Iran, but for Kurdish separatists to carve out an autonomous mini-state inside Iran — Iranian Kurdistan, if we're to call it that — as they did with Iraqi Kurdistan inside Iraq.

Likewise, just as Iraqi Kurdistan effectively — but somewhat discreetly — hosts a permanent US military presence, so will Iranian Kurdistan, should it be "liberated" by Kurdish

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. . . I mean freedom fighters.

If things pan out for Washington and Tel Aviv, Iranian Kurdistan will serve as a base of operations — for collecting intelligence, training insurgents, and launching drone strikes, among other activities — that will weaken and disrupt, if not destabilize, the government in Tehran for years, if not decades, to come.

Third of all This could spill over to other countries like in Iraq in a Shia uprising and Turkey.

Those are features — not bugs — as far as the Israelis and their friends inside the Beltway are concerned. The Israelis have already declared the Turks as next up on their hit list:

Even though going after Turkey clearly runs counter to long-standing American interests — if for no other reason than Turkey's geostrategic location and significant contributions to NATO's force structure and overall posture against Russia and in the Middle East — the current administration is most likely going to let Tel Aviv get its way.

For whatever mysterious reason, Trump just can't say "no" to the Israel lobby . . .

 

[delfer]

Boots on the ground without persistent and overwhelming air power just means a Ukraine style grind - at best.

Boots on the ground also means the most wonderful opportunity for eastern powers to give America sweet payback that has happened in decades. Russia must be salivating right now.

 

[brock]

— The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) shared a video of its Commander, Admiral Brad Cooper, released a Update on Operation Epic Fury

Summary of the Statement:
The Opening strikes were the double the size of Operation Shock & Awe of the 2003 Invasion of Iraq
Over 2000 Targets bombed by United States Air Force, US Navy and US Naval Aviation
Iranian Air Defense systems severely damaged, beyond recovery
USAF Northrop B-2 Spirit and Rockwell B-1 Lancer fully engaged on bombing campaigns in Iran against Missile sites and underground facilities. Last night also marked the first bombing sortie of a USAF B-52 on the war against the Islamic Republic
The US military has sunk 17 Iranian Navy ships so far, now at the bottom of Persian Gulf, including IRIS Makran (Shaheed Bagheri) Carrier and an unnamed Iranian Navy Submarine
The main goal is to destroy the Mobile Transporter erector launchers (TELs)
US-Israeli operation Schedule is ahead of expected
Most of Iranian Command structure eliminated
US Air Force and Israeli Air Force now have Air Superiority over Iran
US FPV & loitering ammo operators are now operating against IRGC using Iranian-made models against Iran itself

U.S. Central Command (@CENTCOM) (

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)

 

[Friendly]

When it comes to interceptors and missiles running out, I think it helps to look at the bigger picture. This particular issue might only matter tactically, not strategically.

Since the US under Trump shifted its military focus to the Western Hemisphere, it does not appear that they want to do much militarily in East Asia, or what they like to call "Asia-Pacific." The

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2026 National Defense Strategy also indiciated this.

The attack on Iran, though muddled by Trump and his cronies, aims to stop the uncontrolled integration of the Old World that started once the Soviets fell and the BRI got going. Israel wants to sit alone in the middle between Asia, Afirca, and Europe. Problem is that the US is not entirely on board. There's still the Turks, Saudis, and Pakistanis in the region.

Turkey is part of NATO and wants to be part of BRICS, China is Saudi's biggest oil importer, and Pakistan is very close to China. All three have good or okay relations with the US. This is hard to disentagle for Israel alone, and the US will not attack them without major cause. We saw for e.g. Trump backing out of Syria for the Turks. When the PKK was recently pummeled by the Syrians with Turkish backing, Trump again stood aside. Israel was unhappy in both cases. It didn't matter.

Only Iran or India can do what Israel wants. Iran is not fully compliant for now so it's being worked. I say not fully because the Iranians, being led by incompetent fools:

• Wasted the last 20 years in endless negotiations/flirtation with the West pretending their nuclear program was serious to get temporary, minor economic concessions
• Wasted massive resources on arming and funding hundreds of thousands of Shia militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon for decades. None of it went to a credible AD or airforce

The result? The Syria intervention in particular burned bridges with both Turkey and the GCC. The Lebanon and Iraq intervention also burned bridges with the Arabs. No one in the region stands with Iran in the hour of need aside from the militias. Yes, the US and Israel are doing great evil, but Iran is seen as just another version of that by most of their neighbors, and for little gain. Israel still attacks Iran, militia or no militia.

Back to India. It's already part of an axis with Israel; see Modi's recent visit to Telaviv that ended 2 days before the recent attack on Iran though I doubt they told him. Also remeber India's Sindoor happened about a month before the 12-day war. I think there was more coordination there than meets the eye. I heard a Pakistani journalist once report that Pakistani officials told him Israel was involved in Sindoor, operating the drones they sold to India. Either way, once the region is chaotic enough, India is likely to try again with Pakistan, though the beating they got probably gives them pause.

So, I don't think it matters to Trump if there is a drawdown of munitions or anything else for this conflict. Trump only bullies weaker countries, he never intended to fight a big opponent militarily. Israel only cares about the MENA region, and seems to have him and the rest of the Epstein class on a leash. So, the conflict can actually drag on longer than expected.

 

[tokenanalyst]

From the lens of Israeli and American hardliners, the goal here isn't for the Kurds to swallow up the entirety of Iran, but for Kurdish separatists to carve out an autonomous mini-state inside Iran — Iranian Kurdistan, if we're to call it that — as they did with Iraqi Kurdistan inside Iraq.

Likewise, just as Iraqi Kurdistan effectively — but somewhat discreetly — hosts a permanent US military presence, so will Iranian Kurdistan, should it be "liberated" by Kurdish

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. . . I mean freedom fighters.

If things pan out for Washington and Tel Aviv, Iranian Kurdistan will serve as a base of operations — for collecting intelligence, training insurgents, and launching drone strikes, among other activities — that will weaken and disrupt, if not destabilize, the government in Tehran for years, if not decades, to come.

Iraqi and Iranian shia militias are going to fight them and the Turks wont accept that.

 

[ForcedTrend]

something happened that they are not telling us

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028976545872716098

 

[AlexYe]

This will bring USN ships within the range of Irans anti-shipping missiles, and potentially ship losses.

The Americans may be feeling lucky given that Iran has not been able to shoot down any jets over her airspace yet.

2 Separate sources from Iran are now saying that they have since shot down a F15.

Trump's plan to use Iranian Kurds as ground force is taking shape. Kurds are being armed and working closely with CIA. They are planning for a ground operation in western Iran.

Man, it be amazingly stupid for Iranian kurds to be fools just like Kurds from other regions, These groups already get bad reputation now if they betray iran they will be seen as traitors everywhere.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028958189878689962

It insane to see they gonna try the same playbook again, KURD USE YOUR BRAINS

no one from the kurds have said that they will enter a war with Iran.

That is true but we dont know the whole situation.

they think iran is building the nuke now with the stock of enriched uranium they have

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028955003914719637

I pray, that is the only thing that will stop it.

subculture has infiltrated the U.S. military?

Imperium of man 40k

cucked Euro nations will participate with a limited number of troops.

Yesterday on israeli channel 12 they were speaking about this that US is asking other nations for support and they suggested that US will /can condition trade/tariffs based on the support they get (0 tariffs and stuff like that)

Pakistani militias could join the fight.

There are already groups in Pakistan asking to let into Iran from Pakistan Balochistan.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

From the lens of Israeli and American hardliners, the goal here isn't for the Kurds to swallow up the entirety of Iran, but for Kurdish separatists to carve out an autonomous mini-state inside Iran — Iranian Kurdistan, if we're to call it that — as they did with Iraqi Kurdistan inside Iraq.

Likewise, just as Iraqi Kurdistan effectively — but somewhat discreetly — hosts a permanent US military presence, so will Iranian Kurdistan, should it be "liberated" by Kurdish

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. . . I mean freedom fighters.

If things pan out for Washington and Tel Aviv, Iranian Kurdistan will serve as a base of operations — for collecting intelligence, training insurgents, and launching drone strikes, among other activities — that will weaken and disrupt, if not destabilize, the government in Tehran for years, if not decades, to come.

Logistically it is a landlocked base.. Iraq not being able to go after them doesn't mean Iran can't.

 

[ForcedTrend]

URGENT | Iranian Revolutionary Guard: We targeted a U.S. destroyer with missiles while it was refueling 650 km away in the Indian Ocean

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028965339162177838

 

[Anlsvrthng]

repairable?

Contain lot of gold and copper.

Thin layer of gold on waveguides and antenas.

If there is no active guards in the area then there wont be anythjng left of it in few weeks time.

New AESA radars costly becasue the gold required for waveguides.