2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
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They are definitely using glide bombs. 30km is more than enough distance to avoid Iranian defenses. We can see drone strikes by Israel/US way closer than 30km.

Yeah, US and Israel sortie rates will drop since the jets needs servicing and the largest bases around the area are already damaged which would make maintenance harder. This with the fact that drones are getting shot down means it's grip over Iran's skies will weaken over the next few weeks. This was probably the reason why Israel gave up in 12 days last time.
Very sporadic, and launched by high end assets like F-15Es and F-35s rather than being able to carpet bomb with B-52 or B-1. I mean even in Vietnam against an air defense network that shot down 10k of their planes they insisted on feeding a few more B-52s to the grinder just to make it look like they had effective bombing.

Even domestic Iranian SAMs outrange regular JDAM.
Similar outcome to Lebanon.

Israel will bomb them into submission. Iran will join negotiation table once civilian casualties and material damage become unbearable and sign a deal on humiliating terms. More high profile IRCG commanders and principalist politicians will be taken out. I don't foresee a regime change in a sense that Pahlavi will return to Iran and monarchy will be restored, but I think Israel and US will look to lift up the likes of Rouhani, Pezeshkian and Aranghchi. It's not a coincidence that Israel let them live.
Iran lost less than 0.01% of its population.

Ukraine lost 20% and is still fighting.

They have to hit Iran 200x harder for a maybe.
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
How exactly is Trump suppose to provide military protection to the Straits of Hormuz?

You gonna sail a carrier strike group through it? Because all I see is a golden opportunity for Iran on forcing the US to waste more air defenses.


So I guess Trump is going to send the navy into the Straits of Hormuz. Gotta keep the oil prices down no matter what.

Trump says Navy will escort tankers through Strait of Hormuz​

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AlexYe

Senior Member
Registered Member
Fingers Crossed Trump or hegseth orders it.
TRUMP DID IT

1772567477136.jpeg

Not only are they saying they will provide financial security BUT 'US NAVY WILL BEGIN ESCORTING TANKERS'
The Coalition in the Gulf War had something like 2,300 fixed wing aircraft and the Iraqis still flew missions. 800? Even with modern technology? uhm.
While that is fair, I would assume that modern longer range weapons, better radars, sats , just better battlefield-situational awareness makes a difference to bridge gap in pure 'unit numbers'

MACRON: France cannot approve military actions by US and Israel ..

Yet Macrooni is sending a frigate and their only carrier to the Med-sea.
 

bsdnf

Senior Member
Registered Member
Merz supports the US embargo against Spain, in an effort to persuade Spain to increase its defense spending.

W.T.F are you talking about?

What's wrong with Germans? Scholz, that trampoline athlete, and von der Leyen are already idiots enough, and now Friedrich Merz is trying to claim the top spot on the list of German idiots?
 

defenceman

Junior Member
Registered Member
Very sporadic, and launched by high end assets like F-15Es and F-35s rather than being able to carpet bomb with B-52 or B-1. I mean even in Vietnam against an air defense network that shot down 10k of their planes they insisted on feeding a few more B-52s to the grinder just to make it look like they had effective bombing.

Even domestic Iranian SAMs outrange regular JDAM.

Iran lost less than 0.01% of its population.

Ukraine lost 20% and is still fighting.

They have to hit Iran 200x harder for a maybe.
Hi,
your assessment of casualties for Ukrainian war might be right, but consider an option Iran
rally need and really fast someone like EU style support im not saying EU, but they need some
help for supply and intelligence etc by virtue of population they are well versed with war fighting
with IRAQ in 80s but they need back up and a good solid back up rest assured they will fight till
they die or keep on going under the six feet.
and if this war or operation by USA or whatever will last eventually DT will be asking other two powers
to broker a deal with Iran for smooth flow of oil or make them partner for smooth flow of oil from thsi
region
thank you
 
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