2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

[texx1]

Is COSCO stock about to soar to the moon again?

I doubt COSCO wants to send ships into such a chaotic environment. It's just too risky.

 

[FriedButter]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028566506775462081

twas about time they officially said it.

Strait of Hormuz is closed. Anyone who wants to pass, our self-sacrificing heroes in the IRGC Navy and the Army will set those ships on fire. Don't come to this region.
The price of oil has reached 82 dollars and surely the world is waiting for it to reach at least 200 dollars.
We will also hit their pipelines in the region and we will not allow oil to be exported from this region so that they are in a tight spot.

Messaging is rather mixed. Hard to tell if the pipeline threat is serious or chest thumping on threatening higher energy prices. On one hand, we have the Iranians saying the attack on the Saudi Oil facilities was an Israeli ploy to drag the Saudis into the war. Then on the other hand the IRCG says they are gonna blow up the Saudi pipeline.

I think the Iranians are waiting for the next Supreme Leader to be elected maybe in a few days. To figure out what exactly they should do.

 

[siegecrossbow]

oh then you will be surprised.

the US will 100% start a full ground invasion. probably a mix of US and Israeli soldiers.

Israel is the one calling the shots. America can only obey.

we already have Israeli and US politicians talking about the possibility of sending ground forces.
that is how they do it. in order to avoid alienating the US public against them. they fool them by saying "dont worry this is gonna be an easy quick operation" then it is "its gonna take few more weeks" , "we will need more ammo and bring more forces" then "we may need to have some boots on the ground" and so on.

Netenyahu has had a war b*ner ever since Hamas launched it's attack. Netenyahu wants to settle the score with absolutely everyone in the middle east. he will settle for nothing less than the complete destruction of Iran and full control of them. random protests guided by CIA agents was not able to achieve that. you have to establish control on the ground to do that.

obviously the US/Israel wont be sending like 200k soldiers straight away to Iran. instead at first they will send few thousands of special operations forces to establish a base in friendly areas such as the Kurdish areas. they would start recruiting PJAK & PKK militants to be used as cannon fodder. then once they expand control a little bit they will send in more forces possibly over the course of several weeks or even months. till the size of the ground force becomes much larger than the force deployed in previous wars like the Iraq or Afghanistan wars.

yes this will be a much bigger war than the Afghanistan and Iraq wars ever were.

ofcourse this is war so there is no such thing as a certain outcome. you dont know who will win and who will lose.

the US spent more than a decade occupying Afghanistan using local proxies against the Taliban and in the end we all saw the embarassing defeat and withdrawl of the US when they started running for their transport planes to flee the country.

now one might say "hey the US is not stupid enough to risk it like that right?"

the truth is Trump himself doesnt give a F about Iran or Khamenei or regime change. if it was for him this war would have not happened.

however American foreign policy starts making sense when you remember the name Epstein. thanks to Epstein Israel has fully finished the complete control of the US empire.

Joke’s on you, I already am fluent in Mandarin and is literate enough to translate articles/talkshows.

 

[AlexYe]

the truth is Trump himself doesnt give a F about Iran or Khamenei or regime change. if it was for him this war would have not happened.

Well your statement just got proven in way

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Last year trump managed to get himself out of the situation by doing a performative attack on and quickly declaring victory and pulled now.
Now because israel was the one that pulled the trigger on Khamenei HE CANT get out even if he wants to, hence all the comments about off-ramps.

Messaging is rather mixed. Hard to tell if the pipeline threat

Mixed messaging could be because of IRGC wanting one thing and Government still keeping a softer hand, the hardliners are in power now. I read the same thing about Saudi attack,even IRGC PR denied it.

 

[plawolf]

Israel is a severe undercount, Israel own channels are saying that injured people are 960, with severe injuries of 150, last nights hit on a bomb shelter increased those numbers alooot.

Iranian streets are flooded with People chanting death to america and mourning Khamenei
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Israeli Hebrewtv-channel12 had a segment going on and this all the stuff they said.

1) Israeli ministers last night were in a meeting discussing whether to preemptively attack lebanon, some ministers were against it because it will mean opening another front.
Before the meeting finished, Hezbollah surprised them all by attacking first.

2) USAF airforce is expected to use some new capability in upcoming days that will severely reduce the threat of iranian missiles reaching Israel. The most shocking bit, Apparently a F18 was hit over the ocean as it was returning from Iran, they didnt say anything about crash or otherwise.
3) IDF is in discussion with US of sending initial troops to Iran because

4)The war might last till April as Israel doesnt want to stop but the ministers were told unless ground troops go to iran, iran will retain ballistic missile ability, it will be severely reduced but not eliminated.

I keep hearing people threatening American and Israeli boots on the ground in Iran, but I never hear anyone offer to suggestion how those boost are supposed to land in Iran.

During Desert Storm, they had a massive build up of ground forces in multiple neighbouring countries before commencing hostilities, where are the ground forces they are supposed to invade Iran with based right now and how are they and all their heavy equipment and logistics train planning to get to Iran?

Are they actually so delusional as to be planning an amphibious assault against Iran?

 

[FriedButter]

Apparently Melania Trump is an diplomat now. Giving a short statement in the UN Security Council on Iran.

I extend my earnest wishes for a swift and smooth recovery to all those who have been injured. You are in my thoughts and prayers during these challenging times, the US stands with all of the children throughout the world. I hope soon peace will be yours.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028562480801423460

 

[xsub1223342]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028576582445437039

 

[EmoBirb]

I think the Iranians are waiting for the next Supreme Leader to be elected maybe in a few days. To figure out what exactly they should do.

Possibly, but admittedly I'm actually rather impressed by the dispersed and independent nature of the Iranian forces right now. This degree of decentralization and autonomy may be exactly what they need right now against their adversaries.

 

[another505]

Apparently Melania Trump is an diplomat now. Giving a short statement in the UN Security Council on Iran.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028562480801423460

She will take any reason to avoid standing next to stinky Trump

 

[delfer]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028576582445437039

And so the slow death toll trickle out begins. I expect the number of "unaccounted-for remains" to only increase over time.