2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

[iewgnem]

MALE strike on a "358" SAM:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028154934110097787

Literal case of "im in ur base killin ur d00dz"

Iran is hitting Israel with bunker busters, sank 3 tankers and Trump is begging for talks.
But yeah let's post a strikes on 1970s SAM that might even be a decoy, lol

It's even funner when you realize that 358 SAM is a short range missile for intercepting munitions, munitions that it apparently managed to intercept on the ground.

 

[bsdnf]

I suspect they may have being getting real time intelligence from Russia and probably China

Space-based photographs taken at time intervals are not equivalent to space-based reconnaissance. Real-time space-based communication and terminal guidance are not something Iran missile unit can have or compatible

 

[sequ]

But yeah let's post a strikes on 1970s SAM that might even be a decoy, lol

A late '10s anti-MALE UAV SAM, but whatever...

 

[delfer]

MALE UAV strike on a "358" SAM:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028154934110097787

Literal case of "im in ur base killin ur d00dz"

Israel desperately trying to control the narrative and appear strong and powerful as usual. Just like Ukraine. What else is new.

They can release as much footage as they like. They're still about to get wrecked. And it looks like this time, daddy's going to get a beating, too.

 

[Mmmeeeto]

I suspect they may have being getting real time intelligence from Russia and probably China

Yup I was surprised that they were able to locate the aircraft carrier, sure, maybe it's foreign help.
But there are way more obstacles to achieving a hit. The current arsenal of Iranian Anti-Ship missiles, composed mainly of Subsonic CM and SRBM is quite primitive.
But even if iran had a Hypersonic ASBM/HGV, there are no channels of communication between Chinese SAT and the Iranian missile guidance system that could feed real time data during the missile's flight.

 

[tokenanalyst]

Space-based photographs taken at time intervals are not equivalent to space-based reconnaissance.

It could be real time space based reconnaissance. Russian have that capabilities and Chinese surely have it. So is a high probability specially with the Russians.

Real-time space-based communication and terminal guidance are not something Iran can comprehend or control.

I think they have pretty good engineers. So I won't underestimate them.

 

[Tomboy]

With Iran's current intelligence and reconnaissance capabilites, I do agree that only four missiles sinking a carrier may be a bit far-fetched. But perhaps, with a little help from a friend...

Unless Iranian missiles have Chinese datalink to provide midcourse corrections, hitting a fast moving carrier is impossible even if the location at the time of launch was known. So, Iran being able to hit any USN target out at sea with ballistic missiles is a big stretch and effectively impossible aside from sheer dumb luck.

 

[Zichan]

We can prove it indirectly.

The AN/FPS-132 was the linchpin of the US/israeli ballistic missile defense.

Without it all that the usa have is the IR early warning system ,but that could not give trajectory, only rough direction.

Means the effectivness of iranian missiles increase afterwards by magnitude.

So, if Iran willing to use shaheds and ballsitis missiles for any other target in the middle east, then the no1 target, the AN/FPS-132 already gone.

And that is in the midle of desert. Small chance to see video about the destruction.

I’ve seen a video and a satellite image as “proof” the radar was destroyed. Neither match the radar’s actual location.

 

[iewgnem]

A late '10s anti-MALE UAV SAM, but whatever...

It takes 5 seconds to look up that it's a sidewinder sized missile designed for loitering at low altitude to intercept small drones or munitions lol

 

[Bellum_Romanum]

Iran is finished, maybe it will birth a more peacefull ME.

Please expound on this theory. That would be a nice outcome if that's at all possible.