2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
Attacking gulf states has a far higher ROI. They don't have much defense there and Iran can use way more weapons. Its far easier to attack there than Israel which is further away. The US is just way to spread out.

And as we know they can't go we are innocent either.

Supressing US airbases and use of civilian airports close to Iran forces them to takeoff much farther out and aerial refuel, which greatly reduce sortie generation and give Iran much large launch window
 

magmunta

Junior Member
Registered Member
Little evidence for any of that.
There's some significant evidence for the depletion of Iranian missiles. 1) lack of large salvos to inflict serious economic and military pain on Israel. 2) lack of hundreds of AD work in Israel. 3) lack of videos coming from the USA and Israel destroying missile launchers and cook offs. 4) after ayatollah's death irgc vowed devastating response, but nothing has happened. 5) in the previous clashes, Iran used to launch a large salvos consisting of 100+ missiles; we see nothing of that kinda now. 6) depletion due to previous usage of missiles and failure, due to Israel bombing fuel producing factories and sabotaging ships carrying solid fuel in recent times, to restart production in large quantities.
 

Aqrab

New Member
Registered Member
Financial times is reporting that US is running low on interceptors Its somewhere on twitter. . As result US might ditch the Israel defense and focus on its own assets. These idiots actually thought you would kill a pope level spiritual leader and you would get away with it or Iranian will up rise as if religious reality is NOT real. Oh its very real and very threateningly real. They will come to know. This matter won't go away even with ceasefire. It becomes one of those memories that will shape the history of things to come.

Contrary to what some are saying here, a even a large number sunni also respect the imam as a practicing pious Muslim and a leader whose assassination is seen as extreme red line. Now especially now that the killer is "jew", that makes this who ever planned this attack an awful plan by the dumbest people ever existed.

US might end up secretly threatening Iran with Nukes to stop its attacks on Israel. A truely existentialist threat to Iran as a nation. That would be extremely motivating for Iran to have Nukes....Extremely..
 

delfer

Junior Member
Registered Member
There's some significant evidence for the depletion of Iranian missiles. 1) lack of large salvos to inflict serious economic and military pain on Israel. 2) lack of hundreds of AD work in Israel. 3) lack of videos coming from the USA and Israel destroying missile launchers and cook offs. 4) after ayatollah's death irgc vowed devastating response, but nothing has happened. 5) in the previous clashes, Iran used to launch a large salvos consisting of 100+ missiles; we see nothing of that kinda now. 6) depletion due to previous usage of missiles and failure, due to Israel bombing fuel producing factories and sabotaging ships carrying solid fuel in recent times, to restart production in large quantities.
No, that's not convincing evidence. Iran not firing many missiles (as of yet) is quite simply them not firing many missiles. Especially since we know Iran is typically slow to get going. Not to mention their small missile batches already getting through US and Israeli AD quite easily, which puts the latter in a bad light.

And lack of launcher destruction means they have no launchers left? Using that logic, I suppose that since we don't see any videos of Iran destroying U.S. aircraft carriers, it means they likely all sank. None of these things have any necessary correlation.
 
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lube

Junior Member
Registered Member
There's some significant evidence for the depletion of Iranian missiles. 1) lack of large salvos to inflict serious economic and military pain on Israel. 2) lack of hundreds of AD work in Israel. 3) lack of videos coming from the USA and Israel destroying missile launchers and cook offs. 4) after ayatollah's death irgc vowed devastating response, but nothing has happened. 5) in the previous clashes, Iran used to launch a large salvos consisting of 100+ missiles; we see nothing of that kinda now. 6) depletion due to previous usage of missiles and failure, due to Israel bombing fuel producing factories and sabotaging ships carrying solid fuel in recent times, to restart production in large quantities.

You got it backwards I think.

They made a bunch of organization changes to delegate launch authority since the 12-day war to make sure a sneak attack doesn't cripple the ability to launch missiles. So that's why they're able to launch within hours of the decapitation instead of being paralyzed.

Instead of the 12 hr delay last year.

But that comes at the cost of large coordinated salvos.
It means they learnt the lesson of hiding the launchers and spreading out the attacks to minimize attrition from airstrikes.
 

jiajia99

Senior Member
Registered Member
There's some significant evidence for the depletion of Iranian missiles. 1) lack of large salvos to inflict serious economic and military pain on Israel. 2) lack of hundreds of AD work in Israel. 3) lack of videos coming from the USA and Israel destroying missile launchers and cook offs. 4) after ayatollah's death irgc vowed devastating response, but nothing has happened. 5) in the previous clashes, Iran used to launch a large salvos consisting of 100+ missiles; we see nothing of that kinda now. 6) depletion due to previous usage of missiles and failure, due to Israel bombing fuel producing factories and sabotaging ships carrying solid fuel in recent times, to restart production in large quantities.
Please provide the evidence of this nonsense or are you comforting yourself over the fact that Iran didn’t fold because a 87 year old man died after he ensure that he has a replacement in case this happened. At the start of the response last time, things happened a bit slow but ever thing sped up after a week. So wait for that time and see if your opinions are correct or not
 
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