2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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ENTED64

Junior Member
Registered Member
Honestly Khamenei's death is at best a neutral event for US/Israel going forward and there are decent chances it becomes a net negative. In the short run there's a rally around the flag effect and given that this wasn't exactly a surprise the Iranians have already had plans in place, as seen by the rapid counterattacks. In the long run, Khamenei was probably a net negative for Iran with his intransigence on nuclear weapons (just ask North Korea how valuable nukes are) and general conservatism. Sure his successor might be more of the same but the longer the war goes on the more likely it is the hardliners win out.

It does allow Trump to declare victory and just ignore reality like he does when his other policies do not work out. That's probably what Trump really cares about anyway.
 

delfer

Junior Member
Registered Member
Honestly Khamenei's death is at best a neutral event for US/Israel going forward and there are decent chances it becomes a net negative. In the short run there's a rally around the flag effect and given that this wasn't exactly a surprise the Iranians have already had plans in place, as seen by the rapid counterattacks. In the long run, Khamenei was probably a net negative for Iran with his intransigence on nuclear weapons (just ask North Korea how valuable nukes are) and general conservatism. Sure his successor might be more of the same but the longer the war goes on the more likely it is the hardliners win out.

It does allow Trump to declare victory and just ignore reality like he does when his other policies do not work out. That's probably what Trump really cares about anyway.
That's exactly what it is. Trump doesn't really care about what happens next. ICBMs could rain down on NYC and he'll still declare victory. This is all just for his own little fantasy bubble.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
Bahian, UAE and Kuwait are easy targets. Minimal AD.

4 drones can destroy their 30 billion airports.

The media uses assumption in many cases which is only 50% correct. So take it with a grain of salt. The media said Iran's missile launchers were mostly destroyed which is not the case.
Placing minimal AD around their 5th fleet HQ, or their biggest airbases in ME Al Udeid and Al Salemis are interesting choice don't you think?
 

Randomuser

Major
Registered Member
Bahian, UAE and Kuwait are easy targets. Minimal AD.

4 drones can destroy their 30 billion airports.

The media uses assumption in many cases which is only 50% correct. So take it with a grain of salt. The media said Iran's missile launchers were mostly destroyed which is not the case.
Attacking gulf states has a far higher ROI. They don't have much defense there and Iran can use way more weapons. Its far easier to attack there than Israel which is further away. The US is just way to spread out.

And as we know they can't go we are innocent either.
Khamenei's death has a rally around the flag effect on Iranian gov supporters.

Even as a citizen you can oppose or dislike him. But you can't deny he fought and died for his causes. He didn't run off somewhere like the other leaders.
 
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