2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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Randomuser

Major
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If I recall during the 12 day war, most of Iran's early salvos were intercepted and it was only when Israel began to run low on interceptors, did Iranian missiles finally start landing direct hits on the cities. This time around, despite being literally day one, they are having much more success penetrating defenses in not just Israel but all the Gulf states as well.
I'm guessing this is why US/Israel were aiming for the decapitation strategy hoping to end this whole thing in a few days.

Dealing with an improved Iran militarily speaking for a long period seems like a huge pain.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
I noticed that the Gulf states are not striking back at Iran. Bahrain, Qatar and UAE were all hit directly, yet they're not scrambling fighters and attacking Iran.

Lesson: don't be afraid of escalation. If you can hit hard enough, other countries will proactively look for excuses to not fight you if they have an offramp.
 

another505

Junior Member
Registered Member
Seeing how some of the buildings are burning after a Shaded impact, it seems that they are packed or at least partially packed with napalm-like substance than high explosives.
A collection of reactions and official statements from different countries (EU, Gulf countries & UN) about the attack on Iran.

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Not even worth the energy require to light up my monitor to read these. Generic ass statement
 

Randomuser

Major
Registered Member
I noticed that the Gulf states are not striking back at Iran. Bahrain, Qatar and UAE were all hit directly, yet they're not scrambling fighters and attacking Iran.

Lesson: don't be afraid of escalation. If you can hit hard enough, other countries will proactively look for excuses to not fight you if they have an offramp.
What can they do? Aren't these guys still stuck with some rebels in Yemen?

Iran has experience with Ukraine and Israel. They have made some daft decisions at a high level but you can't deny when it comes to actually fighting they have a lot more to work with. Over some rich oil arabs who playing as Christino Ronaldo in a fighting game while driving golden cars.

I'm speaking too early right now. But I feel this might be the real important point of this conflict. Khamenei was always expected to die one day and he probably knew it. But the idea all these gulf states especially ones with oil are off limit is now a thing of the past. It might change the whole dynamics of ME. These Saudi guys are not actually untouchable .
 
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bsdnf

Senior Member
Registered Member
I noticed that the Gulf states are not striking back at Iran. Bahrain, Qatar and UAE were all hit directly, yet they're not scrambling fighters and attacking Iran.

Lesson: don't be afraid of escalation. If you can hit hard enough, other countries will proactively look for excuses to not fight you if they have an offramp.
Hamas and Hezbollah were also tricked into holding a meeting, then gathering their advisors, only to be wiped out by a single Israeli bombing. The Iranians haven't learned this lesson.

In my view, adventurism and seizing the initiative will be the mainstream for the foreseeable future. All negotiations will be conducted on the premise that they could break down at any moment; 以打促和 To promote peace through fighting will be the basic tactic.

If you are confident and capable of handling an escalation, then go ahead and escalate, because an opponent of equal strength will most likely do the same. The law of the jungle has returned.

If Iran were to launch a preemptive strike while US troops are massing, it would actually have more leverage than it does now. But they lack both the capability and the courage.
 
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ACuriousPLAFan

Lieutenant General
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