2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

[siegecrossbow]

It really depends on what their win condition is and what reasonable cost for that win condition is. There’s a very large chance that Israel wins and the US loses.

That actually figures into my calculus — I don’t actually think that Trump knows what the win condition is either. The lack of a clear objective may prove detrimental.

 

[latenlazy]

That actually figures into my calculus — I don’t actually think that Trump knows what the win condition is either. The lack of a clear objective may prove detrimental.

Let’s just say that if Trump loses a few ships or an aircraft carrier or exhausts all of the US’s defensive interceptors even if he gets what he wants with Iran the US will have lost. There’s a reason it’s not smart strategy to expend yourself on fights that aren’t directly pivotal to your strategic position.

 

[GulfLander]

MI5 is Britain's domestic intelligence and security agency, analogous to the FBI. If this story is disinformation, then MI6 was most likely responsible.



A lack of access to British bases will inconvenience the US military in this instance, but won't stop or even meaningfully delay US strikes against Iran.

So from an operational point of view, what would be the value of such disinformation?



Haven't thought much about this, but my instinctive suspicion is that the British are looking for American concessions elsewhere in exchange for access to forward basing for hitting Iran.

Most likely a harder line on Russia.

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Trump is more subdued than usual, but

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is most likely what you had in mind from him:

View attachment 169976

was this also the reason for the Darwin Port thing being revived recently?

 

[kwaigonegin]

I fear that an operation against R of I is quite imminent. What do you guys think?

 

[siegecrossbow]

Let’s just say that if Trump loses a few ships or an aircraft carrier or exhausts all of the US’s defensive interceptors even if he gets what he wants with Iran the US will have lost. There’s a reason it’s not smart strategy to expend yourself on fights that aren’t directly pivotal to your strategic position.

Trump’s strategic position is very different from that of the U.S.

I fear that an operation against R of I is quite imminent. What do you guys think?

Water is wet. If he doesn’t move before Monday I’d be very surprised.

 

[latenlazy]

Trump’s strategic position is very different from that of the U.S.

In this case not really. Dude is going to croak in a few years and what he does right now is going to define his legacy.

 

[siegecrossbow]

In this case not really. Dude is going to croak in a few years and what he does right now is going to define his legacy.

It’s already gonna be that of a deranged pedo. I don’t think he cares much.

 

[latenlazy]

It’s already gonna be that of a deranged pedo. I don’t think he cares much.

Grab some popcorn I guess.

 

[SlothmanAllen]

Potentially first combat use of the “Angry Kitten” EW pod?

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2024470326755647885

 

[AssassinsMace]

The US is North Korea because no one even the opposition is telling Dear Leader that he wants to strike Iran’s nuclear program when he already declared it being eliminated after bombing it last year. I guess they all don’t want it being questioned how effective US bunker busters really are.