PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

[siegecrossbow]

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There needs to be a special military operation to restore democracy and rule of law to a certain island…

 

[GulfLander]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020860461206417510

 

[Sinnavuuty]

Attack what, exactly?

PLAN ships and submarines

 

[solarz]

PLAN ships and submarines

With ground forces on a tiny island?

 

[latenlazy]

With ground forces on a tiny island?

Their tactical theory is to use special forces to pry open corridors that they can flood missiles and planes through and use that momentary advantage to deal enough immediate damage to the rest of China's air defense and strike network try to level the playing field. It's a cute theory but requires a lot of things going right, especially with regards to taking positions and setting up without getting noticed and promptly fragged by an immediate counterstrike.

 

[tokenanalyst]

Their tactical theory is to use special forces to pry open corridors that they can flood missiles and planes through and use that momentary advantage to deal enough immediate damage to the rest of China's air defense and strike network try to level the playing field. It's a cute theory but requires a lot of things going right, especially with regards to taking positions and setting up without getting noticed and promptly fragged by an immediate counterstrike.

In a tiny island that even shrapnel and debris from explosions would cause damage to hardware and people.

 

[latenlazy]

In a tiny island that even shrapnel and debris from explosions would cause damage to hardware and people.

Yes but their theory of the case is that if you can set up and launch fast enough you call pull off a “surprise MFer!” followed by “GO GO GO”. Is this actually a sane idea in practice? I personally think it might be funny to see them try *shrug*.

 

[supersnoop]

Yes but their theory of the case is that if you can set up and launch fast enough you call pull off a “surprise MFer!” followed by “GO GO GO”. Is this actually a sane idea in practice? I personally think it might be funny to see them try *shrug*.

Whoever came up with this plan was a huge fan of the lurker drop from Brood War

 

[vincent]

Whoever came up with this plan was a huge fan of the lurker drop from Brood War

Not useful against Zergs.

 

[Gloire_bb]

Even if the Navy manages to roll up enough LSMs (a very big IF), how will they survive until beaching any 1IC island without getting targeted and utterly destroyed by PLA fires. Without air cover they are sitting ducks even for Tomahawk grade missiles.

LSMs are for a far more rear line deployment of larger formations in one go(mobile company drop, for example).

If you look at their tactical training(there's more than enough training footage from both USMC and army), maneuver in contested zone is done via(progressively down)

-helicopters (including heavy) or at most c-130 low altitude drops
-RIBs
-wheels, often down to 4x4 buggy through thick vegetation.

They're leaning heavily on gulf and now UA experience. Ideally, in engaged area, there just won't be easy group targets at all.
They're still full of themselves in many aspects (NMESIS being built on armored MRAP chassis is unique case of not really thinking over wtf you're even doing), but concept itself is quite visionary, and likely built on a rather cold, not rosy assessment of China's likely 2030- state of remote sensing and drone/armed overwatch capability.

Yes but their theory of the case is that if you can set up and launch fast enough you call pull off a “surprise MFer!” followed by “GO GO GO”. Is this actually a sane idea in practice? I personally think it might be funny to see them try *shrug*.

There are hubris from militaries either stuck in the past or in technologies~(code word for magic), but regrettably Berger missile marines is neither.
Annoying concept, which in all likelihood will have to be rooted out in detail, island after island.