What if US knocks out Chinese trade partners, one by one?
What China makes, the entire world wants and needs. Even if Trump invades and takes over a country, you think he can demand they don’t buy any made in China products? Good luck with the immediate uprisings.
In the meantime every needless war the U.S. fights burns through more of their ever harder to replace weapons and platforms. All the while China and Russia are waiting for any effective resistance to emerge, which they would then support with arms and money to cause maximum damage to occupying US forces.
Take Venezuela as a case study. Even assuming the U.S. toppled Maduro’s government and capture the oil fields, how many DJIs do you think it would take to cripple output? Some Wagner guys doing FPV attacks will cause the U.S. occupation troops headaches and looses. And that’s before we discuss the possibility of Russia sending them long range drones and missiles to strike at the U.S. fleet and mainland directly.
Even if they won a few such invasions, they will cause negligible damage to Chinese trade and investment, all the while taking the risk that any one of them might turn into a new Vietnam for America.
And the world will not just sit back and do nothing as America goes on the rampage. Already the Saudis and other gulf states are hiding under Pakistan’s nuclear umbrella while throwing mountains of money into purchases new weapons from China. So the actually important countries are already arming up for self protection and will become even harder nuts for America to crack with every other country they attack.
It’s a game of numbers of percentages, and America is playing terrible odds long shots and need every one of them to go perfectly or it might loose the shirt off it’s back. That’s not a viable long term strategy.