I don't quite understand why you would need to cancel H-20 when clearly PLA has greater ambition. It just means PLA thinks that an aircraft operating at subsonic regime is not sufficiently survivable in future combat even if it's at next level in stealth because the pace of radar/sensor improvement means by the time it is ready for combat missions, it will already be losing its stealth edge.Huitong opines that the appearance of the GJ-X might indicate that the H-20 project has been cancelled or at least had a spanner thrown in its works.
That does seem already quite long for B-21. I'm sure it can go further with lighter load. But if it's carrying 10t+ under non-idea operational environment, 4500km combat radius seems more than enough.I tried finding a source for 2200 NM but could not. Do you have the source mentioning such radius or perhaps at least a ferry range (from which a radius could then be estimated)
I think as soon as J-36 came out, it was quite obvious H-20 cannot just be a subsonic flywing aircraft with 4000 km combat radius. And then when they can casually develop something like WZ-X, then one has to taken the big shrimp comment of supersonic H-20 seriously.Prior to GJ-X being identified, I also believed that such an aircraft was a bit more likely than a B-21 sized unmanned monster.
However, with GJ-X being identified like this, I must say the role of a 20-40t MTOW UCAV seems potentially a little bit redundant to me, if we are operating with the acceptance that GJ-11 will also exist.
We have to probably reset our thought process of GJ-11 or CH-7 being advanced designs, because that was the case maybe 8 years ago.
GJ-21 on Type 076 can already do that.Personally, the bomber I want most is a cheap expendable Japan-bomber. Probably some unmanned subsonic vlo flying wing that China can procure in vast numbers and can waste sending them after secondary non critical targets.
I have to look at unmanned aircraft as aircraft that China thinks it can mass produce cheaply and use in high frequency. So if it thinks it can do this with B-21 sized flywing, then that is quite impressive for its aerospace industry.On the topic of GJ-X and H-20. One thing everyone seems to forget is that GJ-X can be interpreted as a good number filler, sub-H-20 if you will.