J-20 5th Gen Fighter Thread VIII

[FriedRiceNSpice]

How many J-20s have been produced thus far? Wikipedia says only 250 but uses a source from July 2023

250 + (2 * x), where 90 <= x <= 120

 

[dingyibvs]

250 + (2 * x), where 90 >= x >= 120

Think you meant 90 <= x <= 120

 

[FriedRiceNSpice]

Think you meant 90 <= x <= 120

Thank you, I have corrected by post. Good catch.

 

[leibowitz]

250 + (2 * x), where 90 <= x <= 120

Is there a source for this?

 

[Nx4eu]

Is there a source for this?

What do you want the source to be? J-20 production rate is unknown, J-20 induction rate is unknown. If it was 250 two years ago. Even conservative estimates would place the current inventory to be around 400+. You can go back and scroll through Deino's twitter posts counting the tail numbers. But theres been massive opsec increases I believe. So even doing that is getting more difficult.

 

[leibowitz]

What do you want the source to be? J-20 production rate is unknown, J-20 induction rate is unknown. If it was 250 two years ago. Even conservative estimates would place the current inventory to be around 400+. You can go back and scroll through Deino's twitter posts counting the tail numbers. But theres been massive opsec increases I believe. So even doing that is getting more difficult.

Good point. I was hoping there had been more OSINT estimates to draw on than a 2-year old source

 

[ougoah]

J-20, J-20A and J-20S in the parade were often flying without luneberg lens.

J-35s were flying with retractable LL.

 

[Rachmaninov]

What do you want the source to be? J-20 production rate is unknown, J-20 induction rate is unknown. If it was 250 two years ago. Even conservative estimates would place the current inventory to be around 400+. You can go back and scroll through Deino's twitter posts counting the tail numbers. But theres been massive opsec increases I believe. So even doing that is getting more difficult.

It is very difficult. I guess people want someone like @Blitzo to update his assessment since he’s been the person behind most if not all quoted J-20 figures that are reputable (including even Wikipedia mentioned by others).

 

[Blitzo]

It is very difficult. I guess people want someone like @Blitzo to update his assessment since he’s been the person behind most if not all quoted J-20 figures that are reputable (including even Wikipedia mentioned by others).

I don't think my numbers have been that influential, that said my personal range is between 300 to over 400 as of right now.

The estimate range is quite wide simply because we just don't have many good updates these days whether it's for production serials or for new units.

 

[00rinsak]

J-20, J-20A and J-20S in the parade were often flying without luneberg lens.

J-35s were flying with retractable LL.

The J-20s (as in all variants) were most definitely flying with them on.

Apologies for the bad quality - I've only got these photos with horrid edits/no detail on my phone but the luneberg lenses were definitely on there.