What you're saying now is what folks were saying about China many years ago. We don't know who's going to be competitive or not, some will be while many will not but political economy will eventually demand re-balancing whether we like it or not.These countries that sell with raw materials can demand all the industrial investments that they want. They can even force foreign companies buying their natural resources to setup local industries and employ their people. But that will still not automatically make their manufacturing competitive to the international market.
I would caution against this mindset of "we have the natural resources, therefore we have the power". This is a mindset that breeds mediocrity. There is one such example in SEA. That nation is blessed with oil, gas, minerals, timber, and marine resources. The people of this nation praise to the heavens everyday for blessing them with these resources. At some point, they kicked out an island on the south of this nation because they don't like the majority race of the people living there. That newborn little island nation only had mangrove swamps and negligible natural resources. While the blessed nation can easily make tons of money from the fat of their land, their new tiny neighbour had no choice but to rely on their bare hands and wits to make a living. Fast forward decades later, the blessed country had grown, but it remains a middle income third-world economy. It's industries are uncompetitive, and it had fallen deep into the middle income trap. Their tiny neighbour to the south whom they had abandoned and ridiculed have instead managed to transform itself into a first world economy.
Post-colonial third world nations are right to be grateful to be blessed with rich natural resources. But they should not get ahead of themselves and start becoming arrogant about it. They don't owe the industrialized nations anything. And the industrialized nations can chose where they wanna invest too.
Every country will have to adopt a mindset of using whatever little leverage they have to get what they want otherwise it might as well be a colony. The US does this, the EU does this, China does this and everybody will do it. The Singapore example you cited doesn't have anything to do with what I'm talking about either, the truth of the matter is that the Malays never really wanted Singapore to be a part of their country in the first place, they simply didn't want a Chinese majority island to dilute their voter base but the PAP pushed for it and the Malays only accepted because they got Sabah and Sarawak as part of the deal. Singapore has done well for itself and it has navigated through its challenges (I'm a huge fan) but governing a city-state is not the same as governing a nation (yes, I know they have problems too).
Nobody is going to be arrogant about anything, it's not sustainable to simply be a market for Chinese goods indefinitely and sooner or later they'll start making demands for industrial investments. If it isn't forth coming then they'll start using whatever leverage they have to make it a reality. You're right, nations don't owe other nations anything that's why I said folks are free to source their raw materials elsewhere, poor countries can weather misery far easier than rich industrial ones.
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