PLA strike strategies in westpac HIC
- Thread starter SEAD
- Start date
A good encapsulation of why the American military is crumbling.
China is one of the few countries in the world which plans in the long term. Instead of using an arbritrary budget like that, they're going to look at their needs and how to address their needs. Increasing the budget is only one of the solutions to address these needs, so it's not necessarily the most important factor.
我很好奇，你们在北约里都没有谈论工业生产，美国发射战斧要几千万美元，而且每年购买不到 100 发子弹。在这个工业层面上，他们还是想打一场全面战争。今天中国纯工业占世界的比重相当于二战期间的美国，更何况大量的基础战略物资都由国有资产控制。美国战斧的导弹采购量逐年减少，11 艘航母中只有一艘刚刚服役。其中 7 个是 30 年前冷战的遗留问题。如果中美之间发生战争，中国可能会将其产能扩大一百倍，美国的军事产量令人担忧。事实上，在讨论这里之前，应该看看美国军方的采购清单，这样他们就可以清楚地了解美国军队的趋势
It's simple. Americans don't think about the subject at all. The American military has been completely unchallenged since the fall of the Soviet Union so American thinkers just automatically think that this will continue forever without regard to the situation on the ground. This same thinking pervades a lot of American thought about China as well. China used to be a technologically backward country and its military modernization didn't even start until after the Gulf War. In the minds of many Americans, China's modernizations haven't occurred at all which is why there's still a prevailing idea that China is only able to copy; never to innovate.
Because the American Hegemony requires the backing of the world’s most powerful military. The US military has to maintain the image in order to keep the charade going.
It's just intellectual laziness displayed by way of analytical inertia and wishful thinking. For example, the last time the west got a good look at Russian weapons was at the end of the cold war, and they turned out to be pretty good. As such, the Russian military is thought to be a peer competitor, and on the even of the Ukraine war, after 30+ years of relative industrial decline, 30+ years of military budget shrinking from ~20% to ~5% of GDP, the assessment hadn't changed much at all. On the reverse side, the last time the west got a good look at the Chinese military was in '79 against Vietnam. Almost half a century later, 46 years of meteoric industrial expansion, technological advances, and organizational modernizations later, it's still thought of as a second rate military with copycat hardware.
There's some truth to this, but most of the American thinkers I've seen seem to be true believers. The only American military commander of note who seems to understand what's going on and is simultaneously unable to say anything about it is Paparo.
You would think that professional China observers would be above this nonsense, but this doesn't seem to be the case!
But you have to remember another calculation. It's geographical advantage. Who have this geographical advantage to the area east of Miyako Islands. To me, it's US and their allies. But maybe someone can convince me if it's not.
This is the reason to build a numerically superior military. U.S is at a point where they can't procure as much of anything as they used to be. F22 is done. Zumwalts is done. F35 is starting to fade. They planned to slash F35 procurement to 40-50 per year. That is a signifcant drop. If they do that to F35, you will know what is coming for their 6th gen production. It is all the same.
China will procure more 5th and 6th gen planes and to become a decisive advantage in the first chain.
I should hope so; he can see it happening in real time by looking out his window.