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FriedButter

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Treasury Secretary Bessent Emerging as a Contender to Succeed Fed’s Powell​

A growing chorus of advisers inside and outside the Trump administration are pushing another name to serve as the next chair of the Federal Reserve: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

President Donald Trump said Friday he would name a successor “very soon” to replace Jerome Powell, whose term as Fed chair ends in May 2026. The small list of candidates under consideration has included Kevin Warsh, a former Fed official whom Trump interviewed for the Treasury secretary role in November, according to people familiar with the matter.

But Bessent — who is leading Trump’s effort to kickstart the US economy with sweeping changes to trade, taxes and regulation — is also now one of the contenders for the job, said the people, who requested anonymity to discuss private conversations. Formal interviews for the position have not begun, two of the people said.

“I have the best job in Washington,” Bessent said in response to a request for comment. “The president will decide who’s best for the economy and the American people.”

A senior administration official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, disputed the reporting without providing further specifics.

As Treasury chief, Bessent would traditionally play a key role in the search and interview process for the next Fed chair. It’s unclear if he would recuse himself as Trump begins to make his decision.

“Given the amount of trust and confidence that the global financial community has in Scott Bessent, he’s an obvious candidate,” said Tim Adams, president and CEO of the Institute of International Finance. “He’s a dark horse candidate,” Adams said, adding that Warsh — who served as a governor on the Fed board from 2006 to 2011 — would also be a good choice. Asked specifically about Warsh on Friday, Trump said: “He’s very highly thought of.”

Bessent has been at the forefront of negotiations on a US-China trade deal, arguably the most important of the pacts the president is seeking to forge as part of his effort to reshape the global trade landscape.

“Scott Bessent proved he could implement President Trump’s agenda during an incredibly turbulent first six months,” said Steve Bannon, former chief White House strategist and outside adviser to the president. “He’s not just the star of the cabinet, but a safe pair of hands for global capital markets.”

The president, who first nominated Powell to the job in 2017, has regularly complained that the Fed chief has been too reluctant to cut borrowing costs. Trump pushed Powell to lower interest rates in a White House meeting last month.

Powell and Fed officials have held interest rates steady in 2025, arguing a patient approach to policy is appropriate amid economic uncertainty caused by Trump’s expanded and evolving use of tariffs. Fed policymakers have said they expect the announced tariffs to weigh on economic growth and boost inflation.

Whoever the Senate confirms for the post will have to prove to the world that the Fed’s independence from political meddling remains intact. Trump has said many times that Powell is making a mistake by not lowering rates, and has previously said that he should have a say on rate decisions, raising questions over whether markets would see the next pick as beholden to him.

Bessent or Warsh “would be given the benefit of the doubt from the financial community” that they would preserve the independence of the Fed’s rate-setting authority, IIF’s Adams said.

Economist and Trump ally Arthur Laffer said Bessent “is wonderful, but he already has a job. And his specialty is not monetary policy.”
“As I told the president, I think Kevin Warsh is just perfect for the job,” he said.

Other candidates whose names have previously been floated for Fed chair include Kevin Hassett, the White House’s National Economic Council director, Christopher Waller, a Fed governor, and former World Bank President David Malpass.

Middle Class and the Poor will be staring into the abyss in about 11 months.
 

Thecore

Junior Member
Registered Member
Hilarious, maybe she's just you know, beautiful sight aficionado
I wish she would do a televised press conference and say "What a beautiful sight" right now and openly/viciously insult Trump. Give Trump the impetus to arrest her old wrinkly stock market insider trading ass. Let them EAT EACH OTHER like Ouroboros. Let the prophecy of western "civilization" come to fruition!
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
Time to start culling the surplus population via new war in the Asia Pacific.

War in the Pacific? Nah, more like World War 3.

Ukraine apparently has plans on attacking Chinese civilian and military ships as punishment for being friendly with Russia. They cannot do this without Western Intelligences. Specifically, the Americans. Rather ominous that the article uses the word “yet” because that appears to imply the plans already exist but the green light has not been given.

The sources said the SBU weighed sending sea drones hidden in cargo containers to attack ships of Russia and its allies in the North Pacific. But, so far, they apparently have yet to launch these operations.
Transnistria, a breakaway region of Moldova on Ukraine’s western border…, Ukraine considered an operation to attack the Russian troops there but decided against opening this new front.
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FriedButter

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US oil output set for first annual drop since pandemic​

US oil production will fall next year for the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a government forecast that will cast new doubt on Donald Trump’s “energy dominance” agenda.

The Energy Information Administration, a division of the energy department, on Tuesday said US oil production would drop from a record high of 13.5mn barrels a day now to about 13.3mn barrels by the end of next year, as slumping oil prices rattle the sector.

“With fewer active drilling rigs, we forecast US operators will drill and complete fewer wells through 2026,” the EIA said in a monthly report published on Tuesday. Active rigs had “decreased by much more” than it expected in a previous report, it said.

The gloomy official forecast comes just months after Trump was re-elected following a presidential campaign in which he vowed to “unleash” American drilling, promote more oil production, and drive down energy prices.

Soaring shale production in the past two decades made the US the world’s biggest oil and gas producer, upending global commodity markets while feeding domestic industry with a steady stream of cheap energy.

Line chart of weekly count of US oils rigs, since 2018, showing that oil rigs are at a post-pandemic low

Annual production last fell in 2021, during the Covid-19 pandemic in Trump’s first term, but recovered as oil prices rose during Joe Biden’s administration.

The new government forecast, which echoes predictions from shale executives, underscores the stresses facing the sector as rising supply from the Opec+ cartel and anxiety about the impact of Trump’s trade wars on the global economy push down crude prices.
Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminium imports have also raised costs for steel and other crucial inputs in the oil sector, squeezing drillers’ margins, say executives.

Oilfield services company Baker Hughes last week said the number of oil rigs operating in the US was down to 442, a drop of nine in one week, and 50 fewer than a year earlier.

West Texas Intermediate, the US oil benchmark, settled at $64.98 a barrel on Tuesday, down 17 per cent since the high this year — and below the price needed by many shale drillers to break even. The EIA said international oil prices would fall to less than $60/b in 2026.

“The current administration is causing a lot of chaos. I’m really concerned that there’s not a plan,” Wil VanLoh head of private equity firm Quantum Capital Group, one of the shale patch’s biggest investors, told the Energy Capital Conference in Houston last week.

Some analysts expect US oil output to fall more steeply in the coming months. S&P Global Commodity Insights this week said total production could fall by 640,000 b/d from mid-2025 to the end of next year — a drop greater than the total produced by some Opec countries.
US oil benchmark, settled at $64.98 a barrel on Tuesday, down 17 per cent since the high this year — and below the price needed by many shale drillers to break even. The EIA said international oil prices would fall to less than $60/b in 2026.
 
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