The US had become India's biggest trade partner only because of commodity prices anyway.
As a westener who know many executives and people in relatively high positions (that have studied in the typical top business schools and so on), I can say that you would be shocked by the extension of the blindness that permeates both anglosaxon and western european elites.Yeah, the worse the US is doing, and the better China is doing is not decreasing the chance of a hot war, but accelerating it.
Many people don't accept that because they think that it is too "unrealistic", but nothing is too unlikely in this world.
The better China is doing relatively to them (like now), the more they are going to accelerate the war synthesis (shown empirically),
When China had 10% of today's economic power and the US was the world policeman the war wasn't even in the picture.
Also, their elites and "intellectuals" are still living in that fairy tale land when the US is still the same country demographically that it was in WW2 when the war actually benefited them in the end in terms of industrial productivity growth, middle-class growth, innovation, social and political unity, and general prosperity.
They don't realize that the current young bartenders and influencers can't even fathom working in factories or studying engineering.
Also, they don't realize that the racial and ethnic makeup was very different, political and social polarization is much stronger, and 50% of people think that a civil war is likely in the next few years, patriotism, religion, morality, are at all times low, crime and hatred at highs.
So, not only would a hot war against China get them out of their general decline, but it would directly lead to civil unrest at home leading to the premature collapse by 5-10 years.
But, at this point, if you are a US elite decision-maker, I guess it still makes sense for you to at least try getting out of this with a bang.
I guess "you miss 100% shots you don't take", if you are some US oligarch, you would at least try to preserve your future in this way.
When you try to point that both Russia and China have factual advantage in STEM graduates, both in numbers and in quality (winning more international Olympics and so on) they resort to the argument of the "emperor" and our society being more open and bla bla bla.
And if you try to point that western society is not open anymore, that there is censorship of ideas, they catalog you as extremist and don't listen you anymore.
Any fact you throw at them is disdained and ignored.
They dont learn from mistakes.
The key to innovation is patience. Govts' with low time preference like China have that... democracies particularly modern ones have high time preferences, they want to maximize in the shortest time possible and this is dangerous. The west has forgotten their history, the vision of the leaders that turned them into what they are today.This actually has to be one of the biggest bullshit "arguments" I often hear about from delusional Westoids that I never understood in the slightest, even though there are many of them.
Like wtf, can someone explain or prove the correlation between some Fat Joe being allowed to type something stupid on Reddit, or make a YouTube video, and with actual innovation level of an entire country?
What does that even mean? I mean "open flow of ideas" and other bullshit. Are they in some kind of a cartoon or video game?
Do they really think that some scientists or entrepreneurs, in China and Russia, discovering some revolutionary product won't be able to act upon it to monetize and benefit their countries, like wtf?
In fact, why would they be "voicing it openly with free speech" at all, allowing for others to steal their idea, instead of rushing to to fill some kind of a legal patent first ()?
Where in the whole process does innovation have anything to do with "free speech"? This is literally the clearest non-factor even possible.
I can't even begin to understand this from my perspective logically. In fact it would make more sense to make an argument that societies like the Chinese innovate better simply because they are more efficient.
They don't have 10 levels of governing and procedural bullishit they have to cross to adopt some new technology, elections every two years, and they have coherent policies for innovations that could span decades.
Also more leadership unity, continuity, and a better fusion between the government, local governments, companies, universities, for R&D, etc, for collaboration and innovation, that their system allows them to have.
This level of cohesion isn't possible in inefficient liberal democracies. They simply aren't fast enough for such an exponentially changing world of today. They are like an "analog", obsolete system nowadays.
This is not even factoring that from an individual cognitive level, in order to think of something new, you first need to learn as much as possible in order to find some kind of a unique connection with an edge that everyone didn't think was possible before, which Chinese educational system is perfect for that because they simply learn more.
You also need to introduce it to the real world, and that's when mathematics, science, engineering that China is the boss of comes into play.
What it really means is a western version of "". You don't follow Rites of Zhou than you are a barbarian. Of course as Zhou Dynasty history tells us if you use such an system to keep geopolitical challengers down for too long eventually one of them is going to stand up and proclaim 我蛮夷也/I am barbarian and upend the whole system.This actually has to be one of the biggest bullshit "arguments" I often hear about from delusional Westoids that I never understood in the slightest, even though there are many of them.
Like wtf, can someone explain or prove the correlation between some Fat Joe being allowed to type something stupid on Reddit, or make a YouTube video, and with actual innovation level of an entire country?
What does that even mean? I mean "open flow of ideas" and other bullshit. Are they in some kind of a cartoon or video game?
The truth about the auto industry in UK in the past and in the US currently:
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No more Iraqi grey import coke, COFCO Group says fuck your sanctions. They didn't even bother to change the packaging.
I think in their mind they portrait China or Russia as a kind of Mordor, where only Sauron is deciding everything.This actually has to be one of the biggest bullshit "arguments" I often hear about from delusional Westoids that I never understood in the slightest, even though there are many of them.
Like wtf, can someone explain or prove the correlation between some Fat Joe being allowed to type something stupid on Reddit, or make a YouTube video, and with actual innovation level of an entire country?
What does that even mean? I mean "open flow of ideas" and other bullshit. Are they in some kind of a cartoon or video game?
Do they really think that some scientists or entrepreneurs, in China and Russia, discovering some revolutionary product won't be able to act upon it to monetize and benefit their countries, like wtf?
In fact, why would they be "voicing it openly with free speech" at all, allowing for others to steal their idea, instead of rushing to to fill some kind of a legal patent first ()?
Where in the whole process does innovation have anything to do with "free speech"? This is literally the clearest non-factor even possible.
I can't even begin to understand this from my perspective logically. In fact it would make more sense to make an argument that societies like the Chinese innovate better simply because they are more efficient.
They don't have 10 levels of governing and procedural bullishit they have to cross to adopt some new technology, elections every two years, and they have coherent policies for innovations that could span decades.
Also more leadership unity, continuity, and a better fusion between the government, local governments, companies, universities, for R&D, etc, for collaboration and innovation, that their system allows them to have.
This level of cohesion isn't possible in inefficient liberal democracies. They simply aren't fast enough for such an exponentially changing world of today. They are like an "analog", obsolete system nowadays.
This is not even factoring that from an individual cognitive level, in order to think of something new, you first need to learn as much as possible in order to find some kind of a unique connection with an edge that everyone didn't think was possible before, which Chinese educational system is perfect for that because they simply learn more.
You also need to introduce it to the real world, and that's when mathematics, science, engineering that China is the boss of comes into play.
It found that in 2022, only 41.5% of violent crimes and 31.8% of household property crimes were reported to authorities. BJS notes that there are many reasons why crime might not be reported, including fear of reprisal or of “getting the offender in trouble,” a feeling that police “would not or could not do anything to help,” or a belief that the crime is “a personal issue or too trivial to report.”
Most of the crimes that are reported to police, meanwhile, , at least based on an FBI measure known as the .
It's funny how the west loves using Harry Potter to describe life and they think they are the brave main characters. Actually they are more like Draco Malfoy. A bunch of spoilt kids who are leeching of the work of their parents/ancestors. Since they are so open, maybe we should ask them what makes them even remotely as qualified as their ancestors to call the shots? Their ancestors paid with their own blood and actually manufactured stuff from scratch to achieve it.I think in their mind they portrait China or Russia as a kind of Mordor, where only Sauron is deciding everything.
They think that Xi or Putin (or any low level boss) will not accept any argument he does not like because there is not free speech, and he will feel threatened.
On the other hand, the self confident westener presidents, CEOs and managers are able to withstand criticism and new ideas.
That is the level of their delusion.
In reality is totally the opposite, typical westener leader is full of insecurities about his position, he is not able to receive new ideas that are a challenge for his owns.
The liberal democracies (that are not democracies at all) are stagnant and fanatical.
In the West, in a political environment or in a company you simply cannot express many ideas. Do it and you receive immediate censorship. People learn to shut up and just go on with the craze.
The western system is the system where you have free speech to say idiocies (like terraplanism) and absolute 0 free speech to discuss strategic and important things.
As you told, it is factual that China produces more patents, inventions and development that full West combined.
I mean you just need to go to China and see. But when a westener goes to China, instead of wonder about the trains, metro, buildigns and so on, he complains that it does not look "traditional chinese" and that is not as interest and some random poor country full of shacks close to the sea like Thailand or whatever
Even when you look at Russia a westener should wake up to the level of things they are able to develop on a perpetual stage of sanctions and isolationism against them.
Like you have germans laughing of the russians while Moscow has robot deliveries and Berlin has...?