will China send troops to Kyrgyzstan?

aquauant

aquauant

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Kyrgyzstan is descending to chaos. It is so close to Xinjiang and China has a lot of investment there, not mention the possibility of stirring up Uighur insurgency.

It was so worrying to China, during the last riot in April, news reported that China had considered sending troops to keep peace.

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SampanViking

SampanViking

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At the moment its looking remote, although if they did, it would be done under an SCO banner and last week the SCO at its Annual Heads of State Conference in Tashkent (Uzbekistan) did agree to send observers.

It appears remote though as any Boots on the ground are likely to be Russian led and this is likely to be organised by the CSTO, which I understand is discussing the crisis today.
 
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pla101prc

Senior Member
i dont see that possibility for now. China's foreign policy operates under the principle of mutual non-intervention.

news come out that kyrgyzstan want US to help. that sounds like something Beijing would not mind to see. kyrgyzstan has traditionally been under the power sphere of russia, China would love to see such incident driving a wedge between the two countries and further diverting the stretched military and diplomatic resources of the US. i dont think washington would do it though.
 
SampanViking

SampanViking

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Given US support for ousted former leader Bakiyev, who's supporters are being blamed for fanning the violence, I think the likelihood of Bishkek asking for US help is somewhat remote and would not be welcomed by any of the regional powers, especially given how they have all been keen to see the closure of the US Base at Manas.

The CSTO however has been meeting to discuss the crisis and apparently have come up with a plan, so presumably we will be seeing a Russian led mission to Osh.

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Earlier on Monday, the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), a regional grouping of former Soviet states, reached an outline agreement on measures to take as a response to the crisis.

No details have been released of the plans, but a Russian official has told the BBC that Moscow would not rule out sending peacekeeping troops.

Kyrgyzstan has asked Russia for troops, but it has so far refused. Correspondents say Moscow is reluctant to act unilaterally, although it has sent at least 150 paratroopers to protect its military facilities in the north of Kyrgyzstan.
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Finn McCool

Finn McCool

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Russia will probably do it. Putin looks for opportunities like this, for Russia to show it is a player in international affairs and to assert itself in its sphere of influence, especially when there is little risk of real casualties, i.e. Georgia and here.
 
Mr T

Mr T

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pla101prc said:
i dont see that possibility for now. China's foreign policy operates under the principle of mutual non-intervention
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That's all very well, but what happens if one day a country like Russia isn't willing to do it alone?

China should contribute more to international security with boots on the ground in situations like this, even if it won't get involved this time. It's not like the PLA is in any way already heavily committed with overseas peacekeeping operations.
 
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raider1001

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Just out of curiosity, isn't sending PAP instead of PLA side steps the "non-intervention" principles? I mean they are sending "police" instead of the military, so that counts as "humanitarian mission".
 
SampanViking

SampanViking

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Russia is acting through the CSTO to provide significant material support to the Kyrgyz forces and the organisation would be prepared to send in its rapid reaction force if the situation deteriorated further.

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pla101prc

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Mr T said:
That's all very well, but what happens if one day a country like Russia isn't willing to do it alone?

China should contribute more to international security with boots on the ground in situations like this, even if it won't get involved this time. It's not like the PLA is in any way already heavily committed with overseas peacekeeping operations.
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diplomacy 101, when you fiddle with ethnic matters of another country you are walking on a very slippery slope.
 
ABC78

ABC78

Junior Member
Though highly unlikely China will probably only send troops if Kyrgyzstan ask and through the Shanghai Cooperation. And if the Chinese send PAP's it probably won't be more than 200 troops.
 
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