“If it is put into use in 2035 (small batch production), then the production ratio of different types of fighters can be adjusted starting in 2030, and finally the fourth-generation fighters can be phased out in continuous production in 2040.”
I think this is the conclusion I have drawn.
The term "nonperforming asset" may be too radical.
If the Chinese Navy's adversaries were desert shepherds, then the J-15's advanced nature wouldn't matter. After all, the improved J-15T firing the PL-15 missile would be more than sufficient to counter the FA-18 or Rafale.
However, if a fourth-generation carrier-based fighter jet, poised to face the F-35, were to continue mass production, it would be a necessary evil and not a target for the Navy. Early J-15 models were equipped with a mechanically scanned radar and carried PL-8 and PL-12 missiles. Their primary purpose was to provide the Navy with training on aircraft carrier operations and carrier-based aircraft coordination.
The J-15T and its accompanying active phased array radar are expected to be unveiled around 2020, coinciding with the CV-18 construction schedule. The Navy plans to proceed at its own pace and accept the results of acquiring a batch of 4.5-generation heavy carrier-based fighter jets.
The Chinese Navy needs to counter the larger number of US Navy aircraft carriers with a smaller number of aircraft carriers. The J-15 series is clearly not up to par.
Even the J-35: if we remember the meme on this forum: bigger radar, higher power;
then the J-35 doesn't satisfy this idea; it can only be considered adequate.
Everything depends on the military's cost-effectiveness plan. Limited military spending will serve appropriate strategic goals.
