Shangri-La Dialogue

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AndrewS

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Trump’s Huawei Problem: Asia Doesn’t Want U.S. to Kneecap China
  • Asian leaders critiqued Trump’s approach at security forum
  • ‘At stake is the existing global order’: Singapore minister
Smoking cigarettes at Singapore’s Shangri-La Hotel, the site of Asia’s most prominent annual defense forum, members of China’s military found themselves surprisingly upbeat this weekend.

They expected the event to follow a typical routine: The U.S. and its friends gang up on China, leaving it alone to push back against a host of complaints. But this year, with an escalating trade war threatening global growth, the People’s Liberation Army officers saw other Asian leaders
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key aspects of the Trump administration’s attacks on China.

Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong set the tone in his opening remarks, calling on the U.S. to accommodate China’s rise while downplaying the threat posed by Huawei Technologies Co. A Myanmar minister suggested U.S. warnings about China’s debt-trap diplomacy were overblown. And nearly everyone wanted the trade war to end.

“What is at stake is the existing global order, that even if not perfect has ensured peace and progress these last 70 years,” Singapore Defense Minister Ng Eng Hen told the Shangri-La Dialogue. “It would be an egregious folly to throw this baby out with the bath water.”
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China has threatened to retaliate with a planned list of “
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” entities that could potentially affect thousands of foreign firms. On Saturday, Beijing said it opened an
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into FedEx Corp. after it accused the company of misdirecting packages. The company has apologized.

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So we're also seeing European and presumably Japanese/Korean/Taiwanese companies designing out US technology from their products

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AndrewS

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Pentagon Chief Downplays U.S.-China Spat, Sees Deal Eventually
  • Shanahan spoke hours after meeting with Chinese official
  • Washington and Beijing continue to compete for Asia influence
Acting Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan said the U.S. and China would eventually resolve their differences, downplaying the significance of escalating trade tensions even as he ripped Beijing’s leaders for behavior that “sows distrust” in Asia.

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AndrewS

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China Says It Doesn’t Want to Replace U.S. as ‘Boss of World’

China doesn’t seek to surpass the U.S. as the globe’s dominant power but is prepared to “fight to the end” if needed, Defense Minister Wei Fenghe said, as trade friction grows between the world’s biggest economies.

“China has no intention, no power, to be the boss of this world, and against the United States to fight for this status,” Wei said on Sunday at the Shangri-La Dialogue, a major regional security conference. “Confrontation, including between China and the United States, is inconsistent with the interests of the two countries’ peoples and is not in the interest of the people of the world.”

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AndrewS

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China Invokes Abraham Lincoln in Justifying Push to Take Taiwan

When it comes to Taiwan, China’s generals say they are simply following the example of U.S. President Abraham Lincoln.

China’s Defense Minister Wei Fenghe on Sunday invoked Lincoln’s efforts during the U.S. Civil War to justify Beijing’s approach toward Taiwan, which it sees as an integral part of its territory that must be unified by force if necessary.

“American friends told me that Abraham Lincoln was the greatest American president because he led the country to victory in the Civil War and prevented the secession of the U.S.,” Wei said on Sunday at the Shangri-La Dialogue, a security conference in Singapore. “The U.S. is indivisible, so is China. China must be and will be reunified.”

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AndrewS

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What the Latest Opinion Polls Say About Taiwan

The polls reflect the complexity of Taiwan's relationship with Mainland China.
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people who view themselves as both Chinese and Taiwanese continues to inch upward from 40 percent in 2017 to 42 percent in 2019.
Those who see themselves exclusively as Taiwanese dropped from 52 percent to 50 percent...
while 3.5 percent consider themselves Chinese.

support for immediate reunification finds no market in Taiwan—it remains below 3 percent
Support for immediate independence also remains in single digits
most Taiwanese (roughly 33 percent) consistently favor the status quo and prefer to determine Taiwan’s future at some later date
And those who prefer the status quo indefinitely dropped 3 points to 23.7 percent.
Still, most believe reunification will occur eventually.

roughly 70 percent still agree that there is no need for declaring independence because the Republic of China (Taiwan’s official title) is already independent.
almost 60 percent in both polls oppose independence if it triggers a People’s Republic of China (PRC) attack
Roughly 50 percent now believes Beijing will attack if Taiwan declares independence compared to 41 percent in 2017.

Both polls (and earlier surveys) found that a plurality (almost 45 percent) plan to “leave the country,” “unhappily accept the situation,” “hide” or “choose to surrender” if there is war.
Furthermore, each poll shows that 23 percent “don’t know” how they might respond.
Interestingly, a majority believes most Taiwanese will resist an attack.
But the polls also indicate that 70 percent think the military cannot win a war.

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