The primary reason we may not see meaningful MLUs for older WS-10 and AL-31 equipped J-20 is simply that by the time they’re due for them the stealth fighter fleet might be so big that they’ll mostly be assigned as backline duties.
The service life for a WS-10 engine is 3000 hours?
At 200 hours per year, the engine will only last 15 years.
That would equate to half the design life of the J-20 airframe?
So 15 years is when you would expect an MLU to happen
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So the J-20 designers must be aware that the engines will have to be completely replaced as part of an MLU.
And they know that 15 years is enough time for a new, clean-sheet engine design to be completed.
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The AL-31/41 engines are like $4 Million each. So two WS-15 engines might cost a bit more?
So they might as well pay that extra and go with WS-15 for the improved performance.
The difference in engine cost is minor compared to the overall J-20 cost, which has to be at least $80 Million.
So my guess is that the early J-20s will get new engines.