My answer hell if I know (too soon to tell) but what's the fun of being a rising power if there are no obstacles on your way to the top.Will "the Communist regime in Beijing be able to keep its economic, political, and social agenda on track under more stressful conditions."?
The article seems to embrace an East Asian version of the Monroe Doctrine in which the emerging Great Power of the U.S. enforced a policy of a global hemispheric monopoly. But whereas the U.S. could dominate under-developed and relatively isolated nations in the 19th Century Americas, it seems a bit outlandish to believe the East Asian region would aspire to an Imperialist model as template for today.
To expect the U.S. to turn inward and pull up her stake at China's doorstep is to hope for a repeat of the Depression Era's policy of Isolationism. A policy that brought not peace and prosperity, but conflict and destruction.
China has been pretty damn good at making strategic errors without outside prompting in her past history Eg Giving up her blue water fleet in the Ming dynasty, thinking that she had everything she needed thus banning foreign ideas and trade in the Manchu era, the disastrous great leap backwards of the 1950s followed by the Cultural Revolution so the West might be contemplating on whether it was wishful thinking to expect for more fwack ups..
Unfortunately, given the amount of resources the west is investing to actively stop China's rise, the west don't seem to be as stupid as some thinking China falling by its own strategic misstep is a high probability event.
Actually the West is spending a great amount of resources in China to help her rise. Almost every major domestic auto manufacturer in China today has a major foreign partner helping them build better cars. The best selling automobile in China today is a Buick. I-Phones and I-Pads production in China enable the Chinese to be an integral part of the global economy................