Anybody can confirm the estimate number of Y 20?
A recent article on Chinese news platform Guancha.cn said more than 70 of the Y-20s are in operation, with the total expected to soon exceed triple digits, putting China on course for the second-biggest fleet of military transport planes after the United States.
Just for a quick jot-down, and only for airlifters.
Since China does not have an equivalent airlifter to the C-5M Super Galaxy, therefore I would just use the rough equivalent of 1 C-5M Super Galaxy = 2 C-17 Globemaster, since a C-5M can carry 2 Abrams while a C-17 can carry only 1 Abrams.
The USAF currently has:
52 C-5M Super Galaxy (
x2 for the sake of equivalence) = 104 "C-17 Globemaster" strategic airlifter;
227 C-17 Globemaster strategic airlifter;
190 C-130 Hercules tactical airlifter; and
136 C-130J Super Hercules tactical airlifter.
Total would be 331 strategic airlifters and 326 tactical airlifters currently in service with the USAF.
The PLAAF currently has:
~55 Y-20 strategic airlifter (assuming 15 out of the 70 quoted above being the refueling variant);
24 IL-76MD strategic airlifter;
~30 Y-9 tactical airlifter; and
~81 Y-8 tactical airlifter.
Total would be at least 79 strategic airlifters and at least 111 tactical airlifters currently in service with the PLAAF.
To compare, the PLAAF's
strategic airlifter fleet size is around
24% that of the USAF, while the PLAAF's
tactical airlifter fleet size is around
34% that of the USAF.
It is true that China has a signficiant home-front advantage as the PLA does not need to travel halfway across the globe. So this ain't a d1ck size measuring contest.
However, I believe in the worst case scenario where China needs to deal with two fronts (Himalaya and Western Pacific), the airlifter fleet in the PLAAF should reach
at least 75% that of the USAF. Or even
50-60% as the
bare minimum to fulfill the arduous demand for a strong military logistical chain during wartime.
As I have mentioned in this post (
Chinese UAV & UCAV development), good military logistics in the rear is just as vital as good battle tactics and strategies on the frontline. You don't win a war on empty stomachs and empty magazines.