When did they get that? Or just another rumour
2026 Israel - Iranian conflict
- Thread starter doggydogdo
- Start date
The Iranian regime mullahs don’t have a choice to be honest. In other to maintain their rule and power they have to behave ruthless towards any protests . This includes massacres, and it’s not the first and won’t be the last time they do this towards protests. They have learned from the weakness of the shah regime when they were in opposition to the regime and they have cleverly learned from the mistakes of the shah not to crack down hard on protests by all means necessary from the beginning and not to rely fully on the government security forces/military but to create their own loyal parallel paramilitary militia like group loyal to the regime (Basiji, IRGC etc) .
So if Iranians really want a change of government/regime/system, then they should’ve ready to go through a very bloody revolution. Revolutions and change of systems are never really peaceful , thy are always very bloody . Very rarely do they go peacefully.
However, even with all this, I still believe as I said long ago that it’s only a matter of time before the regime will fall. Their current system has not been sustainable for a while . It might not happen this time(who knows) but it will eventually happen.
I can't say because I have heard very little from anyone in Iran in the last few days but I doubt that the state can be seized by the type of riots we have seen recently. There is no opposition with any kind of substance in my opinion (I view both Reza Pahlavi and the MEK as silly). By my estimate, most people no longer support the revolutionary government for economic reasons and Iran's long-standing nationalism / ethnic chauvinism but extreme violence especially from separatist elements is not something the public will get behind. People might not realize because it is not reported by non-Iranian outlets but a nurse was killed in a fire set by rioters and a 3 year old girl was shot in Kermanshah by separatists. This is on top of many police and basij killed (perhaps dozens). The very first death I heard of during this round of protests was that of a 22 year old police officer which occured before there was any crackdown. Iran has both a disaffected and heavily infiltrated populace but even the disaffected are not fans of the infiltration.
Also, Iranian news is reporting that riots and protests are both much smaller than they were earlier.
Also, Iranian news is reporting that riots and protests are both much smaller than they were earlier.
This is a probably a prime example of misinformation that happens in these things. Aside from use of force, better controls need to be provided regarding internet usage and information flow to counter colour revolutions. This was quite a lazy attempt but it managed to spread so far.
This looks like Canada. Just look at the traffic lights.
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Anyways, some Muslim analysts have been anticipating that the Saudis are eager to start a conflict against Iran on religious basis in order to assume leadership over the Sunni world.
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Also, if internet is suspended in Iran, how are any reports coming out? Sounds like Western propaganda.
Starlink
Right. Here's another one,
Twitter throttling this video for some users.
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Vast majority of Iranis are still anti West and anti Israel.
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Tldr: Iran may have jammed Starlink using Russian hardware and Chinese tactics.
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Ayi: (Translated)
After learning that "the capture of Maduro was indeed for the midterm elections," I can basically conclude that Trump will inevitably attack Iran. Because the US is now completely purely using force to boost the prestige of its current leader, instead of pursuing national interests though wars.
There are just so few weak & appropriate targets on Earth, and these vulnerable countries are simply cash cows for the White House to cash out. When it's time to crush these "cows," Trump will definitely squeeze one or two to cash in.
Looking at it this way, Biden's decision to "send Assad to Moscow" in 2024 was indeed ruthless, meaning one less cash cow is left for Trump.
But the problem is, Trump has cashed out in the first half of this year; what about the second half? Voters won't care what happened three months before the election, and the midterm elections are in November.
As for Iran, God helps those who help themselves; a civil war in Iran might be more useful to China than its current state.
(Added from comment section)
Someone: The main problem was that ICE pulled off a major stunt, which essentially rendered Maduro's efforts futile, forcing them to invest in another operation ahead of schedule.
Ayi: Yes.
TD;LR: Operations on Iran is coming in days.
After learning that "the capture of Maduro was indeed for the midterm elections," I can basically conclude that Trump will inevitably attack Iran. Because the US is now completely purely using force to boost the prestige of its current leader, instead of pursuing national interests though wars.
There are just so few weak & appropriate targets on Earth, and these vulnerable countries are simply cash cows for the White House to cash out. When it's time to crush these "cows," Trump will definitely squeeze one or two to cash in.
Looking at it this way, Biden's decision to "send Assad to Moscow" in 2024 was indeed ruthless, meaning one less cash cow is left for Trump.
But the problem is, Trump has cashed out in the first half of this year; what about the second half? Voters won't care what happened three months before the election, and the midterm elections are in November.
As for Iran, God helps those who help themselves; a civil war in Iran might be more useful to China than its current state.
(Added from comment section)
Someone: The main problem was that ICE pulled off a major stunt, which essentially rendered Maduro's efforts futile, forcing them to invest in another operation ahead of schedule.
Ayi: Yes.
TD;LR: Operations on Iran is coming in days.
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War is now multidimensional. There is too much focus on just conventional force and not enough on the other areas.
This jamming of Starlink is an example of developing countermeasures to other areas. The west can screech about human rights or whatever but when you take out emotion its basically shows Iran is catching up to their tactics. This is a giveaway that this riot has a lot of "inorganic" elements in it.
Protests are reported to have ended. Couldn't get public support; preplanned event, damage to mosques and public infrastructure, many protestors and police killed. Looks like a failed Israeli plot.
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