PLA Air Force news, pics and videos

A

ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
Two nearly identical airbases located at the deserts of Xinjiang, with the new one (Gaozuizi AB) being about 97 kilometers north-northeast of the older one (Lop Nur AB). It has been speculated that these two bases are related to UAV testing and evaluation.

It must be noted that this Lop Nur AB is not the same base as the other Lop Nur AB with the J-36 and J-XDS/50 prototypes spotted last year, which is located about 173 kilometers to the west.

Posted by @nuwangzi on Twitter.

20260110_224530.jpg
20260110_224531.jpg
20260110_224533.jpg
 
doggydogdo

doggydogdo

Junior Member
Registered Member
Totoro said:
Did even Mitchell say 100 flankers per year? i know they said that about j20. But even IF they did claim that for flankers i would wager they misunderstood something.
I know that Daniel Rice said 100 flankers were produced, quoted by air and space magazine, but he is an independent analyst working for a think tank.

There is no indication of flanker production being that high. As far as i know.
Click to expand...
1768059927651.png
 
TheWanderWit

TheWanderWit

Junior Member
Registered Member
doggydogdo said:
View attachment 167901
Click to expand...
I think the only thing I'll say here about this graphic is that the 4.5 fighter acquisition numbers I don't believe are correct. To my knowledge, PLAAF doesn't even procure J-10Cs anymore, let alone that many, and that J-16 production number seems too high. More likely it is around 40-60 per year, and likely about to stop decreasing, if not already is.
 
T

Totoro

Major
VIP Professional
Once again, whatever mitchell institute said, There are no indications of flanker production reaching 100 per year. Photos - Satellite or other kind? Unit sightings? Avic announcements? Nothing.
 
Blitzo

Blitzo

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Totoro said:
Once again, whatever mitchell institute said, There are no indications of flanker production reaching 100 per year. Photos - Satellite or other kind? Unit sightings? Avic announcements? Nothing.
Click to expand...

I don't think the Mitchell Institute's estimates are that important for us to factor in, and even if one wanted to put some weight on them there should be no expectation that they would correlate with any evidence that we are privy to (and there definitely should be no expectation that they would release them to us).

That said my personal feeling is that some of their numbers are based on vibes and/or sometimes unreliable -- it's always wise to cross correlate with our own methods.
 
Gloire_bb

Gloire_bb

Colonel
Registered Member
Blitzo said:
I don't think the Mitchell Institute's estimates are that important for us to factor in, and even if one wanted to put some weight on them there should be no expectation that they would correlate with any evidence that we are privy to (and there definitely should be no expectation that they would release them to us).

That said my personal feeling is that some of their numbers are based on vibes and/or sometimes unreliable -- it's always wise to cross correlate with our own methods.
Click to expand...
I'd saY more than a few estimates in western internet in fact come from more or less faithful interpretation of this exact forum.
I.e. we risk a closed loop. Primary sources, however patchy, are the way.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top