2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

[fleetmaestrooo]

I think US casualties could be in the hundreds and that is from the initial attack. I think they didn´t evacuated the bases and probably thought that AD were good enough. They are trying hide the numbers as long as possible.

Something like that is almost impossible to hide for long. It’s been nearly a week since the first attack. If there were hundreds of casualties, credible leaks would’ve surfaced by now. So far it’s just numbers being thrown around.
I think it’s more likely in the double digits, not the hundreds, and even then probably mostly wounded or critically injured rather than deaths. You might hide wounded cases for a while, but hiding deaths is much harder. That’s just my two cents.

 

[ACuriousPLAFan]

My source is that I made it the fuck up my fact-based feeling

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2029269959982117329

 

[Soldier30]

Despite the massive strikes against Iran, Iran's missiles and drones are also retaliating. Video footage shows Iranian missile strikes on Israel's Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv, where American military aircraft are possibly stationed. It is now known that an Iranian drone hit a US Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) radar at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan, as shown at the end of the video. The cost of replacing the AN/TPY-2 radar is estimated at between $300 million and $500 million. Several images, including satellite images, are already available. The Wall Street Journal reported this information.

 

[siegecrossbow]

How much for one?

5940 RMB to break even. Factoring in delivery costs, taxes, manufacturing costs etc. probably around 2K USD a pop. This is not even accounting for economy of scale.

 

[Chevalier]

Why do I get starship troopers vibe from this video? Is it the use of tracers and illumination rounds?

Tbh that particular battle does bear resemblance to klendathu drop.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2030611432711344335

ppl feel that the israelis watching their mighty Zion being Gaza’d will opt for nuclear strike.

and in the meantime, the UAE has supposedly struck Iran, necessitating the Iran need to destroy the concept of Dubai.

 

[Lnk111229]

I think US casualties could be in the hundreds and that is from the initial attack. I think they didn´t evacuated the bases and probably thought that AD were good enough. They are trying hide the numbers as long as possible.

Let be real and honest. Those base even when they dont evacuated the soldiers still have the training and basis instincts. They definitely will run and hide in secure bunker. So the death may be not low but not high either. So I say dozens for each base is mostly accurate i guess.

 

[sequ]

View attachment 171100

5940 RMB to break even. Factoring in delivery costs, taxes, manufacturing costs etc. probably around 2K USD a pop. This is not even accounting for economy of scale.

But these don't look 3x2 meters, they look a bit smaller...? But still, that is dirt cheap

 

[siegecrossbow]

But these don't look 3x2 meters, they look a bit smaller...? But still, that is dirt cheap

I can’t see the cost surpassing 5K USD even if you increase the size by a magnitude.

 

[bsdnf]

View attachment 171100

5940 RMB to break even. Factoring in delivery costs, taxes, manufacturing costs etc. probably around 2K USD a pop. This is not even accounting for economy of scale.

these so-call Shahed using a civilian motorcycle engine, isn't a proper Shahed-136 design; its thrust-to-weight ratio is insufficient.

A proper Shahed-136 uses the MD550 engine, which costs around 30,000 RMB in China

The MD550 is actually an old avation engine. If the MICs design a dedicated engine, its cost-effectiveness and range could be improved.

 

[plawolf]

Iran hasn't claimed responsibility for any attacks on public infrastructure. There was an attack on Jebel Ali Port in UAE, but I don't know if Iran claimed responsibility.

So far, Iran has avoided this and so far, the Arabs have been reluctant to attack Iran afaik. If Iran starts attacking Arab infrastructure that isn't related to the US war, I reckon Arabs will join the fight and that will be worse for Iran.

Israel otoh is trying it's best with false flags to get others involved.


There is one behavior of the Nazis that Israelis haven't been able to replicate: fighting their own wars.


It may also be that US deliberately refused to defend the Arabs in order to goad them into war against Iran, to which the Arabs have been reluctant so far. But I feel the Arabs will join in, unfortunately.

Camp Buehring is the only US base I know of in northern Kuwait,

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2030444606328893882

View attachment 171056

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2030380154304782372

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2030445935436730599

So, it's not even AA guns. It's bloody assault rifles.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2030446544290210037

They might just run out of bullets too if they keep firing at this rate on a single drone.
________

All those monarchists on TikTok uploading propaganda have begun deleting their videos quietly.

Absolute morons. Do they think they are in a video game where bullets just despawn after a certain distance? With the way they were fruiting, the drone target is liable to get a generous peppering of 5.56 on top of the drone strike. It would be the height of hilarity if the US troops who were the targets if the drone strike survived the drone only to be nailed by a stray from one of these ‘special’ forces.