2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
Some observations and predictions:

Learning from the experience in Ukraine and Iran, the west may start abandoning the mentality that interceptor systems are cost effective in a real confrontation. This will persuade countries and militaries from furthering investing in expansive interceptor technologies and assets. Instead they will start desensitize their public for war attrition. In terms of strategy, countries and military will start relying on fortification infrastructure building/strengthening, and invest more in low cost and distributed attack drones/missiles to deploy in saturation, aka. using attack as the best form of defense.

For China, this could mean a totally different trend of geostrategic reality: small adversaries like Taiwan and Philippines will abandon the myth of Western-superiority mentality and revert back to cold-hearted practicality. They will start going to full-on attrition mentality and ready themselves for sustaining collateral damage, and concentrate their resources on the strategy of full-on low-cost, low tech, massive volume decentralized attack tactics. In combination, the US will pull away and waiting on a safe distance, thus denying China the opportunity to engage and damage valuable US assets.

Imagine South Korean no longer believe in superiority through technological complexity. Imagining the South Koreans revert to only pursuing marginal tech superiority against the North, and using the remainder of their resources on "dumb methods" like fortification, sheer volume superiority in terms of drones and missiles, etc.

This would be a very different turn of mindsets. (Because the hardest thing to change is people's mindsets, beliefs and prejudices)
But it won't be unthinkable if regional conflicts continue to teach the world the same lessons.
Not with DPP or LDP copers. They’ve buried their heads so far up their collective asses that I’m not sure anything short of a construction crane can get them out.
 

siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
Good luck convincing the MICs that have captured these Western liberal plutocracies to ditch their 'technologically complex,' low-volume, high-margin gold-plated products. They aren't about to pivot to mass-produced, high-volume missiles and drones that require a massive switch, way more corporate effort, carry thin margins, and wreck their quarterly earnings. Even in a best-case scenario, that shift is a total fairy tale.
If they don’t mind spy chips I’m pretty sure there are several firms in Shenzhen willing to help out.
 

meedicx

Junior Member
Registered Member
Some observations and predictions:

Learning from the experience in Ukraine and Iran, the west may start abandoning the mentality that interceptor systems are cost effective in a real confrontation. This will persuade countries and militaries from furthering investing in expansive interceptor technologies and assets. Instead they will start desensitize their public for war attrition. In terms of strategy, countries and military will start relying on fortification infrastructure building/strengthening, and invest more in low cost and distributed attack drones/missiles to deploy in saturation, aka. using attack as the best form of defense.

For China, this could mean a totally different trend of geostrategic reality: small adversaries like Taiwan and Philippines will abandon the myth of Western-superiority mentality and revert back to cold-hearted practicality. They will start going to full-on attrition mentality and ready themselves for sustaining collateral damage, and concentrate their resources on the strategy of full-on low-cost, low tech, massive volume decentralized attack tactics. In combination, the US will pull away and waiting on a safe distance, thus denying China the opportunity to engage and damage valuable US assets.

Imagine South Korean no longer believe in superiority through technological complexity. Imagining the South Koreans revert to only pursuing marginal tech superiority against the North, and using the remainder of their resources on "dumb methods" like fortification, sheer volume superiority in terms of drones and missiles, etc.

This would be a very different turn of mindsets. (Because the hardest thing to change is people's mindsets, beliefs and prejudices)
But it won't be unthinkable if regional conflicts continue to teach the world the same lessons.

Would this strategy work for islands though? Unlike Iran, there's no way to resupply if you lose air/sea and use all your missiles.
 

_killuminati_

Captain
Registered Member

Local in DXB claims the attacks there are from Israel, claiming the rockets come from another direction,

But the problem is that the US and Israeli strikes has pretty much depleted Iran's conventional military assets (fighter jet, naval ships, anti-air batteries). Leaving them now would be a golden opportunity for Iran to quickly buy Russian and Chinese equipment to re-arm.
There is actually no way for anybody to know what exactly is the number in Irani inventory, except for the ships. Nobody knows how vast their underground networks are and how much equipment is hidden there. You've seen the terrain of Iran - endless rugged mountains - that's their underground, rather undermountains.

The damage that Iran has dealt in this round is significantly more than the previous two rounds combined. In that context, Iran's power projection has increased, not decreased, regardless of whatever losses they’ve incurred.

Why is it that the underground infrastructure for missiles only have one easily identifiable entrance? I’d imagine that it is more effective having multiple tunnels going into the complex.
They probably have numerous doors/gates all around, hidden and open. Just imagine the ventilation network; you need multiple openings all around.

Truly the best times. The empire is on its last legs, literally.


US didn't move 60% of it's assets here for a few strikes on Iran. They are gonna light that Armageddon war they've been thumping about for decades.

Attacks in Erbil (Iraqi Kurdistan) intensifying,
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A new video of the (female?) F-15E pilot after ejection,
https://www.reddit.com/r/war/comments/1rixseo

The reverse-engineered drones can easily do false flag attacks and blame Iran.
 
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