2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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EmoBirb

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AlexYe

Senior Member
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Kurd infiltration to set up safe zones inside Iran in and around Tabriz looks like the option they want to pursue, aside from convincing the Arabs to start this invasion.
Exactly what Israeli Channel 12 said, In iraq from Elbit to Tabriz
Marco Rubio basically admited today they got dragged in by the Israelis, so yeah, it tracks.
Trump also said the same to Tucker
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The problem with that is that Gulf is uh, a death trap, and the Arabian Sea landing, if it even survives, puts maybe 20k troops in an immediate cauldron with their backs to the water and needing air and sea resupply against the entire IRGC and Iranian Army. And every single exit to their landing zone can be rocket mined.
They were talking about 4-5K special operation troops but yeah I get you.
The other option they talked about was azerbaijan>caspian sea>tehran, yes yes i know insane.

he's winging on something to could become existential for the petro dollar.
Trump doesnt think that far ahead and is surrounded by yes-men
 

_killuminati_

Captain
Registered Member
Exactly what Israeli Channel 12 said, In iraq from Elbit to Tabriz

Trump also said the same to Tucker
View attachment 170599

They were talking about 4-5K special operation troops but yeah I get you.
The other option they talked about was azerbaijan>caspian sea>tehran, yes yes i know insane.


Trump doesnt think that far ahead and is surrounded by yes-men
Even worse would be if, god forbid, Pakistan allows US a staging ground, just as they did once to invade Afghanistan.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Even worse would be if, god forbid, Pakistan allows US a staging ground, just as they did once to invade Afghanistan.
If they want to march through Pakistani Balochistan, then... keep going on a march through Iranian Balochistan... because there isn't much infrastructure there... sure?

otherwise on a mountain march near Tabriz, Iran has drones, missiles, ATGMs and an air force that is still flying. Whoever tries to march that will get struck in mountain roads then survivors starve to death.
 

EmoBirb

Junior Member
Registered Member
Jam-proof GLONASS antenna inside Irani drone
It only makes sense really. The Geranium family traces their roots back to the Iranian Shahed family. And while the two drone families have sufficiently diverged by now to be considered different systems (although western outlets will insist on calling them Shaheds), the improvements Russia made to the system throughout the war in Ukraine can and should be adapted by Iran, as has seemingly already happened.

This is why it was such a good deal for Iran and Russia. Iran supplied a useful but non-sensitive technology, Russia scaled production, usage and iteration on the design to incredible heights, Iran received from Russia intel on the effectiveness of the systems, pitfalls, tweaks to the software side of things, hardware improvements and how to make these more resilient.

In the near east there have only been two countries who seriously looked into drones and became pioneers and large influences in the field, and these were Iran and Israel. And while Israel mainly focuses on the larger, high end, high cost surveillance and strike UAVs, deploying units like the Harpy in lower quantities. Iran went all in on the high volume, low complexity, low cost loitering munitions and long range drones, while also having a few MALE UAV designs under their belt as well.

And thanks to Syria, to Hamas, Hezbollah and to the Houthis having to deal with Israeli drones, as well as Russia having intelligence on several types from their time in Syria as well as their own Forepost UAVs, Iran most likely has a really good understanding of the IDF drone capabilities. And let's not forget that time when the spoofed a CIA RQ-170.

I'm aware the missiles and jets steal the spotlight a lot. But let's not forget that two of the most premier drone users and developers are currently duking it out across the entire middle east.

I think that angle is quite fascinating, to be honest.
 

siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
Dealing with Iran’s missile and drone capacity isn't happening anytime soon.

Plenty of westoids are now coping with the delusion that they already have or could just 'target' all of those capabilities away next, but they’re ignoring the reality:

Iran’s electricity production eclipses the UK's by far and is approaching Germany’s and the world's top 10 rank.

They are a massive military-industrial power, and most of that previous output is hidden in widespread mountains and underground bunkers.

The current US could never wipe that out before facing massive regional repercussions.

It’s what happens when you judge an opponent’s economic strength based on some artificial currency rate you control yourself; it makes no sense.

The population is more united, the regime is more resilient and efficient, and ground troops or total carpet bombing, finishing on time, are just not options.

I don't see a world where Iran ends up regime-changed or a failed state.

The US would be begging for peace much sooner than that, greatly weakened.
You can conceivably take out all the missile launchers, but it’s very difficult to root out all the Shaheeds. All you need is a makeshift launch rail to get one off the ground.
 
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