2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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Faisal Iqbal

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Mass evacuation of cities across Middle East may be necessary if nuclear power stations attacked, UN nuclear chief says

Patrick Wintour

The mass evacuation of cities across the Middle East may be necessary if civil nuclear power stations are attacked leading to radiological release, Rafael Grossi, the director general of the IAEA UN nuclear inspectorate, warned on Monday at the opening of the quarterly board meeting of the IAEA.

He admitted “a strong sense of frustration” that an agreement between the US and
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over Iran’s nuclear program had eluded the parties in their recent negotiations. Grossi had attended the talks providing technical assistance.

Opening the board meeting, he said diplomacy “is hard and never impossible. The use of force has been present in international relations since times in memorial. This s a reality, but it is always the least preferred option.”

“I remain convinced that the lasting solution to this long existing discord lies on the diplomatiic table when it comes to nuclear matters, a crystal clear understanding of the scope and verifiability of an agreement is of the essence.

“Diplomacy is hard, but it is never impossible. Nuclear diplomacy is even more difficult, but it’s never impossible. It is not a matter of if, but of when we will again gather at the diplomatic table. We simply must do so as quickly as possible.”

Rafael Grossi attends the IAEA Board of Governors meeting at the IAEA headquarters in Vienna, Austria, on 2 March 2026.

Turning the impact of the current fighting across the Middle East he said: “We cannot rule out a possible radiological release with serious consequences, including the necessity to evacuate areas as large or larger than major cities.”

“Let me underline that the situation today is very concerning. Iran and many other countries in the region that have been subject to military attacks have operational nuclear power plants and nuclear research reactors, as well as associated fuel storage sites, increasing the threat to nuclear safety.

He added: “The United Arab Emirates has four operating nuclear reactors. Jordan and Syria have operational nuclear research reactors. Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia have also been attacked. These countries all use nuclear applications of some sort or the other. We therefore urge utmost restraint in all military operations.”

Discussing Iran’s remaining nuclear installations, he said: “We have no indication that any of the nuclear installations, including the Bushehr nuclear power plant, the Tehran research reactor, or other nuclear fuel cycle facilities have been damaged or hit. Efforts to contact the Iranian nuclear regulatory authorities continue with no response so far.”
 

magmunta

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Do we know for sure what type of ammunition the USA and Israel use? I mean the opening salvo consisted of tomahawk cruise missiles; and B2 bombers dropped bunker busters. No stand off ammunition anymore? Just guided bombs? If the coalition has achieved the complete air superiority and use cheaper guided bombs, that's a bad news for Iran and Iran's sympathizers.
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
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Do we know for sure what type of ammunition the USA and Israel use? I mean the opening salvo consisted of tomahawk cruise missiles; and B2 bombers dropped bunker busters. No stand off ammunition anymore? Just guided bombs? If the coalition has achieved the complete air superiority and use cheaper guided bombs, that's a bad news for Iran and Iran's sympathizers.
Iran has highly mobile S300VM, TOR,BUK and similar homegrwon stuff.

all of them capable to hit up to 20 km altitude, means it is impossible to fly over Iran without risking a double digit chance for a shoot from a SAM.

To be clear : gravity fall bombing operations require 97% of chance of success, othervise it is cheaper to use tomwhawk missiles. So Iran has to make sure all USA plane has bigger than 3% chance of kill.
 
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