2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?

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brock

brock

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fleetmaestrooo said:
I don't think there is going to be a ground invasion.. I believe they are going to pound the Iranian state with air power in the hopes of collapsing it and let forces favourable to us and Israel and other arab client states take power.. Let's wait and see.
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Don't think these other states in the region can really invade or militarily control Iran, perhaps the best chance they have is inciting an insurrection from within. But the opportunity for that to happen was some weeks ago during the Iranian protests, that window of opportunity is now gone. Unless Iranian opposition can somehow take the streets once again but this time receive weapons from the US
 
B

Botnet

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Gloire_bb said:
I wonder. In such structures, central leader(name of position doesn't matter) is a mediator of interest groups, usually acceptable and personally respected/feared by them.
Taking them out thoroughly destabilizes the picture. We already saw that with Hezbollah and to a smaller degree - Hamas.
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Hezbollah and Hamas are non-state actors, more akin to a cartel militia than anything. Iran on the other hand is an actual, functioning state, with a strong IRGC ready to step in to ensure the chain of command remains intact. And they have already experienced decapitation strikes and in theory should have planned for this and delegated authority to regional IRGC commanders to act autonomously. Of course, this is only a short term solution, and if the Americans claims of killing 5-10 commanders alongside Khamenei himself prove true, then the shelf life of the remaining commanders may not be long. But for now they are still in a position to retaliate and the chain of command should still be intact.
 
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aqh

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Call it copium but it seems like the US middle eastern AD in the gulf (80-85% of regional) is nearly spent with their sensors als falling apart. Someone tell me if I'm wrong but is the US still launching from the gulf or are they just doing it from CVNs + Israel/med. If they are then they can only generate like 50 sorties a day (highly telegraphed btw) which means they have failed.
 
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iewgnem

Captain
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brock said:
I'm thinking that perhaps the US is trying to do attrition first on Iran through long range strikes because of how fortified/defended is Iran before launching a complete ground Invasion into their territory
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Attrition through what? Depleting Iranians missiles by getting hit by them and launching 3+ interceptors per incoming?

US don't have enough force to do a ground attack, they don't even have enough ammo to intercept all Iranian missiles, they're just trying to manifest a pro-Epsitein uprising in their head because Israel really couldn't understand why people don't like pedo cannibals and they really convinced themselves everyone loves them.
 
BasilicaLew

BasilicaLew

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aqh said:
Call it copium but it seems like the US middle eastern AD in the gulf (80-85% of regional) is nearly spent with their sensors als falling apart. Someone tell me if I'm wrong but is the US still launching from the gulf or are they just doing it from CVNs + Israel/med. If they are then they can only generate like 50 sorties a day (highly telegraphed btw) which means they have failed.
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Planes cant land or take off if your airforce is firing interceptors, it doesnt matter how advanced your system is, S-400 or even Patriot, if given enough chances it will shoot down your own aircraft. There's a good reason to keep firing, and it keeps the aircraft grounded.
 
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