The U.S. can coup which ever civilian Korean government they want at a moment’s notice.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
You care to explain wtf is 1st industrial zone? An AI troll bot can do better than this.
And if America wants to waste its efforts trying to coup South Korea to get it to play along while preventing North Korea from opportunistically fragging Seoul while Taiwan is smoldering they’re free to find out how well that work for their strategic objectives. Again, no matter how ruthless you think the Americans are I would argue they’re not *that* stupid. Let’s be realistic here.
FriedRiceNSpice
Major
No, not really. US will present SK with "verified intelligence," that NK armored divisions and special forces are mobilizing, "intercepted communication," that a NSF destroyer task force was ordered to divert from its course towards Taiwan strait to launch a preemptive first strike on airbases in South Korea, and a feed from American anti-stealth surveillance assets "showing" PLAAF stealth aircraft crossing into NK airspace before vectoring South towards the DMZ.
Trump 2.0 official thread
Literally 1984 why is no one talking about this??? :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes: “Good Morning America. @siegecrossbow. Victory begins here!” Altus Air Force Base personnel mocked gate guards over a scripted "Victory begins here!" greeting "It frustrates me to write this to you all, but...
www.sinodefenceforum.com
^^^^^
Trump is a lot dumber than the Pentagon and even he’s got limited risk tolerance. Just look at this Iran situation.
Mediocre fanfiction. South Korea has their own surveillance systems that would need to be corroborated with such false flag intelligence, that intelligence would still have to pass through South Korea’s civilian leadership to be actionable, and if the false flag hinges on a North Korea scenario South Korea isn’t committing to plans that involve directing operational capacity toward a fight in Taiwan. Once again, can y’all try to be more realistic? Real world security politics doesn’t follow the deranged fever dreams of leftist Redditors.
Since the end of the Cold War — if not decades prior — USFK has not been structured, resourced, trained or otherwise intended for direct combat against the PLA, in a Taiwan scenario or otherwise.
Likewise, the US did not expect the ROK to jump in should things get kinetic across the Taiwan Strait.
However, Washington has since made a 180, after Pentagon defense planners and strategists arrived at the realization that the US will have to throw its "allies" — willing or otherwise — at the PLA to have any chance in a confrontation over Taiwan.
Most notably, USFK CG Xavier Brunson recently started releasing writeups and delivering speeches [, ] pushing the South Korean authorities and military to contribute to "stability across the region," and "deterrence" against Russia and China.
In a paper titled dated November 16, 2025, General Brunson stated:
However, despite American pressure, the South Koreans are — unsurprisingly — not particularly keen on being dragged into a potential hot war against a nuclear armed neighbor that also happens to be its #1 trading partner.
This reluctance was fully visible on February 18th, when the PLAAF intercepted ~10 USAF F-16 fighters — flying out of Osan Air Base — over the Yellow Sea. Per , a South Korean newspaper of record:
If South Korea were more willing to confront China — as Uncle Sam now desires — the ROKAF would likely have participated in the USAF exercise.
Assuming Chosun Daily's report is indeed accurate: USFK's failure to advise the ROK MND of the exercise's "specific plans" implies the US operated under the assumption that the ROK would not have approved of them, and that Seoul does not wish to find itself in the middle of awkward tensions — let alone a brawl — between Beijing and Washington.
To put it bluntly, Seoul won't allow itself to be militarily injected into a Taiwan scenario unless Washington quite literally extorts its cooperation.
Likewise, the US did not expect the ROK to jump in should things get kinetic across the Taiwan Strait.
However, Washington has since made a 180, after Pentagon defense planners and strategists arrived at the realization that the US will have to throw its "allies" — willing or otherwise — at the PLA to have any chance in a confrontation over Taiwan.
Most notably, USFK CG Xavier Brunson recently started releasing writeups and delivering speeches [, ] pushing the South Korean authorities and military to contribute to "stability across the region," and "deterrence" against Russia and China.
In a paper titled dated November 16, 2025, General Brunson stated:
However, despite American pressure, the South Koreans are — unsurprisingly — not particularly keen on being dragged into a potential hot war against a nuclear armed neighbor that also happens to be its #1 trading partner.
This reluctance was fully visible on February 18th, when the PLAAF intercepted ~10 USAF F-16 fighters — flying out of Osan Air Base — over the Yellow Sea. Per , a South Korean newspaper of record:
If South Korea were more willing to confront China — as Uncle Sam now desires — the ROKAF would likely have participated in the USAF exercise.
Assuming Chosun Daily's report is indeed accurate: USFK's failure to advise the ROK MND of the exercise's "specific plans" implies the US operated under the assumption that the ROK would not have approved of them, and that Seoul does not wish to find itself in the middle of awkward tensions — let alone a brawl — between Beijing and Washington.
To put it bluntly, Seoul won't allow itself to be militarily injected into a Taiwan scenario unless Washington quite literally extorts its cooperation.
Even South Korea is not directly drawn into a war, it is more likely to be an enhanced version of the Polish role in SVO.
The US military would use radar systems to gather air situation information, utilize local facilities for resupply, and even directly engage in operations to seize air superiority in the East China Sea
Essentially luring the PLA to launch a preemptive attack on South Korea. And same thing is happening on the Japanese islands near Taiwan.
There's a reason why it's called an island chain.
The US military would use radar systems to gather air situation information, utilize local facilities for resupply, and even directly engage in operations to seize air superiority in the East China Sea
Essentially luring the PLA to launch a preemptive attack on South Korea. And same thing is happening on the Japanese islands near Taiwan.
There's a reason why it's called an island chain.
wont NK-China def treaty be activated incase foreign forces interfere in the "Reunification war"?
manqiangrexue
Brigadier
I don't know how reliable this is but I had a very good friend about 15 years ago who finished his term in the Korean military and came to the US to study. He told me that there's an unwritten understanding in the Korean armed forces that if shit goes down, they all run for self preservation and let the Americans die fighting because the they know that the reason there is conflict in Korea is because of America. He literally said that if they see North Korean paratroopers dropping from the skies, they don't shoot back because they believe that North Koreans are deadly accurate and they'll be killed if they try to fight them. The unwritten understood protocol is to call the Americans and run, not necessarily in that order.
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