2025 Israel - Iranian conflict

[solarz]

Bibi's Mossad and Modi's India intelligence agencies have been deeply embedded in Iranian cities for years. A gigantic network of agents and sleeper cells. Probably that is why the CIA was able to track Iran procurement networks and transactions. The fact that the Iranians didn't see this early is incredible.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1935286265743819062

ROFL... these guys withdrew from Chinese agreements to court India. I can only say, everyone gets exactly what they deserve!

 

[sheogorath]

Will likely to heavily strain the trust between Modi's India and the Iranians. Indians are buyers of Iranian oil but still. In general will be difficult for the Iranians to trust anyone after this, especially the West. The relationship with the Russians and China would depend on the level of covert support that these nations are giving to Iran.

All the more reason to take Pakistan's offer and pivot to them. Will certainly piss the Hindutva off.

On a related note, all the more reason to kick India off the SCO and the BRICS, or at the very least reduce their involvement.

 

[Brainsuker]

It might not have been a concern to some people but for me it is, I never like to see civilians suffer due to their governments.

Nothing I just don’t support terrorists

Let say that it is a tit for tat by Iranian after Israel bombed their hospital first. If Iran still bomb another Israeli hospitals then, you can blame them just the same as Israel bomb Gaza hospital.

 

[tokenanalyst]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1935618742710583408

 

[Atomicfrog]

Will likely to heavily strain the trust between Modi's India and the Iranians. Indians are buyers of Iranian oil but still. In general will be difficult for the Iranians to trust anyone after this, especially the West. The relationship with the Russians and China would depend on the level of covert support that these nations are giving to Iran.

I think that Iran and India have one thing in common, an overdose of pride of their own capabilities even if they are lacking. They will not accept help willingly and they want to rely on themselves. India giving information to Israel or Iran to Yemen is rubbing their ego but asking is the contrary.

 

[Anlsvrthng]

Mossad tunnels found under one's of Israel hospitals

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1935559552696807530

Blast wave effect on 200 meteres from an 1000 kg TNT equivalent warhead.

On 30 m distance reinforced bunkers destroyed as well

 

[Sinnavuuty]

Considering the scale of the American military footprint within de jure Syria, how exactly do you think American forces and bases are being resupplied without runways capable of receiving C-130s, if not C-17s?

Moreover,

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Why would they use a base that is 140 km from the Israeli border (<80 km from Damascus)?

If it was a support air base, it would be one located much further east in Syria than near Damascus and Israel. The chances of the IAF using Al-Seen as a support base are almost zero to be honest, considering the evidence shown of mass ETFs being used by IAF fighters and REVOs. Not to mention that there is no guarantee that the Americans have control of the base.

You are just theorizing here. Nothing concrete.

As for resupplying the bases, they land in northern Syria, but no one knows where:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1012075987801137153

 

[sheogorath]

If we don't see it, it didn't happen, I guess

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1935598664832979169

 

[tokenanalyst]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1935669286334304663

 

[Moonscape]

That's how I calculate it too. The first two days were the most intense days for the IAF, but then the activity decreased to the point where Israel shouted at the Americans to start getting involved, because the IAF is clearly prevented from carrying out major strikes against Iran because of geography, logistics prevents them from achieving their objectives.

They cannot maintain this scale of operations for more than two weeks, at some point the activity will decrease, but we also cannot be sure how much these strikes have affected Iran's ability to retaliate.

Looks like Israel actually thought Iran would collapse after the initial attack, like Russia with respect to Ukraine. However, Russia was able to pivot and continue its operations indefinitely, thanks to industrial capacity and a land border. Israel has neither of these.