2025 Israel - Iranian conflict

Intention

New Member
Registered Member
Iran literally launched fewer 5 missiles, yeah their definitely running out. a few more waves and they will have no more missiles or launchers I think. The video I have seen looks like they launched 1 missile. Iran seems to be running out
I don't know if they are running out as they are still many types that we have barely seen so far. For example, today was the first Sejjil. The latest two or three types have not been seen at all. Also, the only missile city damage I have seen is to the entrance in I believe Tabriz which they should be able to dig out. We also have not seen any of the fancy vertical launched base on rails that they showed on video months ago to my knowledge.

Either they are playing it slow to salvage a possible off-ramp, preparing for a wider war, or still in a degrade air defense phase so they can unload larger salvos of less advanced stuff.

They could also be in a bad spot like you are saying but I don't think it is due to a shortage. Many options though; Could be that they are so dominated in the air that they can't organize anything bigger without being hit. They have lost launchers like you said although in video we may have seen what a dozen lost so far? Highly degraded command and control. Maybe they really are buried and can't dig out and we just don't have images. Could also be that their accurate stuff is in insufficient quantities and they don't want to risk eliciting really heavy retaliation by going completely untargeted.

Maybe someone can try to work out of it is plausible for the relevant bases to be under near constant patrol? I probably can't do a good job of that
 

CMP

Captain
Registered Member
I suspect if this ends in a ceasefire rather than a second Iraq, Iran will have agreed not only to giving up nukes but also agreed to work directly against the interests of US rivals. That's the kind of devil's deal I can see the US offering. Terror attacks, bomb drone smuggling, head cutters, the whole shebang.
 
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AlexYe

Junior Member
Registered Member
He'll make final decision in the next episode. Or maybe next season.
On the next Episode of Trump-FlipFlops-Z
If the parts about cancelling projects and seizing solar equipment is true, this is incredibly stupid on their part.

Perhaps the death of Raisi and election of reformists changed their strategic outlook that much but what kind of silly political system would allow that. They are desperate for foreign investment and especially power projects. I think it might be that the domestic business lobby is very strong as I have seen that with cars and even solar panels they always want tech transfer and local production or they put up barriers. It seems that they may have allowed themselves to have the worst elements of third world democracy while still being cast internationally as ultra-authoritarian. All the negative reputation with none of the capacity.
Death of Raisi has been a huge blow, since then the reformists flipped back towards India and US deal dreams, And heavily agree, they got all the bad cons of poorer countries(whilst sitting on insane oil/gas) but they are portrayed is very Authoritarian/theocratic (but they are not)
There's a not unreasonable chance that should CENTCOM find itself facing greater Iranian resistance than expected or whatever rosy picture CG Mike Kurilla painted, Trump will declare victory
In my opinion this IS the plan, they will bomb the nuclear sites for a big show, See what sort of reaction iran will give (whether they will attack nearby bases or not, the strait) and depending on it ,claim victory.

I suspect if this ends in a ceasefire rather than a second Iraq, Iran will have agreed not only to giving up nukes but also agreed to work directly against Pakistani and Chinese interests. That's the kind of devil's deal I can see the US offering. Terror attacks, bomb drone smuggling, head cutters, the whole shebang.
Meanwhile Pakistan Chief of Army staff and head of the ISI (their cia) met with trump for lunch today...
 

CMP

Captain
Registered Member
Wouldn't be surprised this is the reason there is such a big emphasis on social media about China and Russia doing nothing for Iran....
Iran is certainly dumb enough to put themselves on the wrong side of history. I'm not sure what Trump can offer Pakistan though. This is certainly the kind of idea Trump and the US would go for given they have tried and failed at similar schemes before.
 
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